Skip to main content
icon for ウィンブルドン2026 :ジョアン・フォンセカがトップ5シードを倒す?

ウィンブルドン2026 :ジョアン・フォンセカがトップ5シードを倒す?

icon for ウィンブルドン2026 :ジョアン・フォンセカがトップ5シードを倒す?

ウィンブルドン2026 :ジョアン・フォンセカがトップ5シードを倒す?

48% 確率
Polymarket
新規
48% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.João Fonseca enters Wimbledon 2026 as a seeded player around No. 23–24 with strong recent form, including a 2026 French Open win over Novak Djokovic and an ATP title on clay, yet his limited grass-court record (historically below .500) and 2–6 mark versus top-10 opponents create balance against the “No” side at 50.5% implied probability. A favorable draw positions him to avoid early top-8 clashes, but reaching a top-5 seed would likely require navigating multiple rounds on a surface where serve-volley and movement remain developing elements for the Brazilian. Recent grass preparation at Halle and his baseline power offer upset potential in best-of-five sets, while any dip in form, draw shifts, or physical fatigue could reinforce the current trader consensus favoring no such victory.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/07/12
マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.João Fonseca enters Wimbledon 2026 as a seeded player around No. 23–24 with strong recent form, including a 2026 French Open win over Novak Djokovic and an ATP title on clay, yet his limited grass-court record (historically below .500) and 2–6 mark versus top-10 opponents create balance against the “No” side at 50.5% implied probability. A favorable draw positions him to avoid early top-8 clashes, but reaching a top-5 seed would likely require navigating multiple rounds on a surface where serve-volley and movement remain developing elements for the Brazilian. Recent grass preparation at Halle and his baseline power offer upset potential in best-of-five sets, while any dip in form, draw shifts, or physical fatigue could reinforce the current trader consensus favoring no such victory.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/07/12
マーケット開始日
Jun 22, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ウィンブルドン2026 :ジョアン・フォンセカがトップ5シードを倒す?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して48%です。例えば、「はい」が48¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を48%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ウィンブルドン2026 :ジョアン・フォンセカがトップ5シードを倒す?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 22, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ウィンブルドン2026 :ジョアン・フォンセカがトップ5シードを倒す?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「ウィンブルドン2026 :ジョアン・フォンセカがトップ5シードを倒す?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して48%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を48%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「ウィンブルドン2026 :ジョアン・フォンセカがトップ5シードを倒す?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。