The expanded 48-team World Cup format and early group-stage matches have left the bronze boot race tightly bunched, with trader consensus assigning Erling Haaland, Raphinha, Cody Gakpo, and Bukayo Saka the highest implied probabilities around 35-37 percent. Multiple forwards from deep-running sides such as Norway, Brazil, the Netherlands, and England share similar paths to three or more goals, supported by favorable group draws and recent qualifying form. Additional contenders including Romelu Lukaku, Ferran Torres, Kylian Mbappé, Harry Kane, Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martínez, Jude Bellingham, and Ousmane Dembélé sit just behind at 32-34.5 percent, reflecting comparable attacking roles and historical scoring rates in major tournaments. Lower-priced options like Lamine Yamal and Vinícius Júnior retain realistic chances if their teams advance deep, while longshots trail due to limited playing time or team expectations. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in the unpredictable nature of goal distribution across the remaining fixtures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日World Cup: Bronze Boot Winner
Julián Álvarez 14%
Lamine Yamal 7%
Vinícius Jr. 7%
Mikel Oyarzabal 6%
Julián Álvarez
22%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Vinícius Jr.
11%
Mikel Oyarzabal
23%
Álvaro Morata
1%
Richarlison
1%
Kylian Mbappé
32%
Harry Kane
38%
Lionel Messi
33%
Erling Haaland
37%
Ousmane Dembélé
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
32%
Lautaro Martínez
34%
Nick Woltemade
34%
Romelu Lukaku
-
Ferran Torres
32%
Raphinha
36%
Cody Gakpo
35%
Bukayo Saka
35%
Jude Bellingham
33%
Julián Álvarez 14%
Lamine Yamal 7%
Vinícius Jr. 7%
Mikel Oyarzabal 6%
Julián Álvarez
22%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Vinícius Jr.
11%
Mikel Oyarzabal
23%
Álvaro Morata
1%
Richarlison
1%
Kylian Mbappé
32%
Harry Kane
38%
Lionel Messi
33%
Erling Haaland
37%
Ousmane Dembélé
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
32%
Lautaro Martínez
34%
Nick Woltemade
34%
Romelu Lukaku
-
Ferran Torres
32%
Raphinha
36%
Cody Gakpo
35%
Bukayo Saka
35%
Jude Bellingham
33%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The expanded 48-team World Cup format and early group-stage matches have left the bronze boot race tightly bunched, with trader consensus assigning Erling Haaland, Raphinha, Cody Gakpo, and Bukayo Saka the highest implied probabilities around 35-37 percent. Multiple forwards from deep-running sides such as Norway, Brazil, the Netherlands, and England share similar paths to three or more goals, supported by favorable group draws and recent qualifying form. Additional contenders including Romelu Lukaku, Ferran Torres, Kylian Mbappé, Harry Kane, Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martínez, Jude Bellingham, and Ousmane Dembélé sit just behind at 32-34.5 percent, reflecting comparable attacking roles and historical scoring rates in major tournaments. Lower-priced options like Lamine Yamal and Vinícius Júnior retain realistic chances if their teams advance deep, while longshots trail due to limited playing time or team expectations. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in the unpredictable nature of goal distribution across the remaining fixtures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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