The 2026 World Cup remains in its opening phase, with most squads having played one match or fewer, leaving disciplinary records nearly identical and fair play standings wide open. This has produced tightly bunched trader consensus around 50% for several leading outcomes, as yellow-card totals stay low across the field and no team has separated itself through repeated fouls or send-offs. Norway, Japan, and Croatia sit slightly ahead of the pack on historical clean-sheet tendencies and recent qualifying form, yet even these edges remain modest given the long schedule ahead and the potential for one late red card or multiple bookings to reorder the leaderboard. The competitive balance reflects both the early timing and the narrow margins typical of fair play races.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ワールドカップ:フェアプレイ賞受賞者
Norway 22.6%
Japan 17.4%
France 16%
Belgium 15.4%
$51,509 Vol.
$51,509 Vol.
Norway
23%
Japan
19%
France
12%
Belgium
15%
Spain
14%
Colombia
13%
Mexico
10%
Brazil
8%
Portugal
7%
Iran
6%
England
5%
Germany
5%
Argentina
5%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
United States
3%
Netherlands
3%
South Korea
2%
Croatia
18%
Uzbekistan
2%
Ivory Coast
1%
Switzerland
1%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Sweden
1%
Tunisia
1%
New Zealand
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Haiti
1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Türkiye
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Norway 22.6%
Japan 17.4%
France 16%
Belgium 15.4%
$51,509 Vol.
$51,509 Vol.
Norway
23%
Japan
19%
France
12%
Belgium
15%
Spain
14%
Colombia
13%
Mexico
10%
Brazil
8%
Portugal
7%
Iran
6%
England
5%
Germany
5%
Argentina
5%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4%
United States
3%
Netherlands
3%
South Korea
2%
Croatia
18%
Uzbekistan
2%
Ivory Coast
1%
Switzerland
1%
Canada
1%
Morocco
1%
Sweden
1%
Tunisia
1%
New Zealand
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Ecuador
1%
Paraguay
1%
Scotland
1%
Haiti
1%
Egypt
<1%
Panama
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Türkiye
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 3, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 World Cup remains in its opening phase, with most squads having played one match or fewer, leaving disciplinary records nearly identical and fair play standings wide open. This has produced tightly bunched trader consensus around 50% for several leading outcomes, as yellow-card totals stay low across the field and no team has separated itself through repeated fouls or send-offs. Norway, Japan, and Croatia sit slightly ahead of the pack on historical clean-sheet tendencies and recent qualifying form, yet even these edges remain modest given the long schedule ahead and the potential for one late red card or multiple bookings to reorder the leaderboard. The competitive balance reflects both the early timing and the narrow margins typical of fair play races.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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