Iraq’s assignment to a demanding Group I alongside France, Norway, and Senegal underpins the overwhelming 93.5% market-implied probability of a group-stage exit. The Lions of Mesopotamia earned their first World Cup berth in four decades via dramatic intercontinental playoffs but enter the tournament with minimal preparation time, no prior finals experience since 1986, and a mixed set of pre-tournament friendlies that included a draw against Spain yet losses to higher-caliber sides. Recent results and roster depth reinforce trader consensus that advancing past the group would require multiple upsets against superior opposition. Realistic shifts in odds would hinge on injuries to key opponents, unusually strong collective form, or tactical execution that exceeds historical benchmarks for the side.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Group Stage 97.5%
Round of 16 <1%
Round of 32 <1%
Quarterfinals <1%
$409,960 Vol.
$409,960 Vol.
Group Stage
98%
Round of 32
<1%
Round of 16
1%
Quarterfinals
<1%
Semifinals
<1%
Final
<1%
Champion
<1%
Group Stage 97.5%
Round of 16 <1%
Round of 32 <1%
Quarterfinals <1%
$409,960 Vol.
$409,960 Vol.
Group Stage
98%
Round of 32
<1%
Round of 16
1%
Quarterfinals
<1%
Semifinals
<1%
Final
<1%
Champion
<1%
If Iraq is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Iraq based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 7, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Iraq is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Iraq based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Iraq’s assignment to a demanding Group I alongside France, Norway, and Senegal underpins the overwhelming 93.5% market-implied probability of a group-stage exit. The Lions of Mesopotamia earned their first World Cup berth in four decades via dramatic intercontinental playoffs but enter the tournament with minimal preparation time, no prior finals experience since 1986, and a mixed set of pre-tournament friendlies that included a draw against Spain yet losses to higher-caliber sides. Recent results and roster depth reinforce trader consensus that advancing past the group would require multiple upsets against superior opposition. Realistic shifts in odds would hinge on injuries to key opponents, unusually strong collective form, or tactical execution that exceeds historical benchmarks for the side.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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