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スポーツ·FIFAワールドカップ

ワールドカップ：チームがノックアウトステージに進む

icon for ワールドカップ：チームがノックアウトステージに進む
スポーツ·FIFAワールドカップ

ワールドカップ：チームがノックアウトステージに進む

$1,537,690 Vol.

2026/06/28
Polymarket

$1,537,690 Vol.

Polymarket

Spain

$40,983 Vol.

98%

Brazil

$34,082 Vol.

98%

France

$47,574 Vol.

96%

England

$18,411 Vol.

96%

Germany

$19,292 Vol.

96%

Portugal

$25,362 Vol.

96%

Belgium

$15,743 Vol.

96%

Argentina

$18,046 Vol.

96%

Switzerland

$69,426 Vol.

94%

Netherlands

$21,040 Vol.

92%

Mexico

$27,987 Vol.

92%

Colombia

$15,599 Vol.

90%

Ecuador

$13,004 Vol.

88%

Uruguay

$10,511 Vol.

88%

Morocco

$18,625 Vol.

87%

Canada

$28,185 Vol.

86%

Norway

$74,789 Vol.

86%

USA

$34,444 Vol.

84%

Croatia

$48,020 Vol.

83%

Austria

$21,477 Vol.

81%

Turkiye

$17,499 Vol.

80%

Japan

$9,673 Vol.

79%

Ivory Coast

$8,676 Vol.

79%

Egypt

$3,966 Vol.

73%

Senegal

$48,706 Vol.

71%

South Korea

$7,079 Vol.

70%

Czechia

$2,545 Vol.

70%

Scotland

$45,180 Vol.

70%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$19,751 Vol.

66%

Algeria

$9,851 Vol.

66%

Paraguay

$19,926 Vol.

64%

Sweden

$12,932 Vol.

63%

Iran

$11,710 Vol.

61%

Ghana

$68,992 Vol.

51%

Australia

$22,595 Vol.

45%

DR Congo

$14,608 Vol.

44%

South Africa

$8,326 Vol.

39%

Tunisia

$41,983 Vol.

37%

Saudi Arabia

$80,659 Vol.

37%

Panama

$32,036 Vol.

35%

Uzbekistan

$18,628 Vol.

32%

New Zealand

$70,558 Vol.

31%

Cape Verde

$10,655 Vol.

31%

Jordan

$43,524 Vol.

21%

Qatar

$59,663 Vol.

21%

Iraq

$169,301 Vol.

15%

Haiti

$54,360 Vol.

13%

Curacao

$21,923 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage opens with 48 teams across 12 groups, where the top two finishers plus the eight strongest third-place sides advance to the Round of 32 knockout phase. Trader sentiment reflects pre-tournament form, with Spain, France, Argentina, and Brazil carrying the strongest implied probabilities due to deep squads, recent major-tournament success, and favorable group draws. Host nations Mexico, the United States, and Canada face more balanced groups and must navigate early fixtures plus potential rotation concerns. Key variables include official injury reports ahead of opening matches, head-to-head history within groups, and the expanded third-place qualification rule that rewards goal differential and results against stronger sides. Schedule congestion and travel across North America could influence later group games.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,537,690
終了日
2026/06/28
マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage opens with 48 teams across 12 groups, where the top two finishers plus the eight strongest third-place sides advance to the Round of 32 knockout phase. Trader sentiment reflects pre-tournament form, with Spain, France, Argentina, and Brazil carrying the strongest implied probabilities due to deep squads, recent major-tournament success, and favorable group draws. Host nations Mexico, the United States, and Canada face more balanced groups and must navigate early fixtures plus potential rotation concerns. Key variables include official injury reports ahead of opening matches, head-to-head history within groups, and the expanded third-place qualification rule that rewards goal differential and results against stronger sides. Schedule congestion and travel across North America could influence later group games.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,537,690
終了日
2026/06/28
マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ワールドカップ：チームがノックアウトステージに進む」はPolymarket上の48+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Spain」で98%、次いで「Brazil」が98%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ワールドカップ：チームがノックアウトステージに進む」は$1.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ワールドカップ：チームがノックアウトステージに進む」で取引するには、このページに記載されている48+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ワールドカップ：チームがノックアウトステージに進む」の現在のフロントランナーは「Spain」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Brazil」で98%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ワールドカップ：チームがノックアウトステージに進む」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。