The expanded 2026 World Cup format features 12 groups of four teams, with the top two from each group advancing automatically to the round of 32 alongside the eight best third-placed sides. These third-place teams are ranked first by points earned across their three group matches, followed by goal difference, goals scored, fair play points, and FIFA ranking. With group stage matches just beginning, early results in groups featuring mid-tier sides like those in Groups B, D, and J create opportunities for competitive third-place records around 3-4 points. The specific round-of-32 matchups against group winners depend on the exact combination of advancing thirds, governed by FIFA's 495-scenario table in the regulations. Recent form, head-to-head results within groups, and schedule positioning will shape which teams post the strongest third-place metrics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Scotland
43%
Czechia
42%
Ivory Coast
39%
Senegal
38%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Algeria
36%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
35%
DR Congo
33%
Ghana
32%
Sweden
28%
Iran
27%
Ecuador
26%
Austria
41%
Paraguay
24%
United States
24%
Japan
22%
Egypt
22%
Cape Verde
20%
Morocco
20%
Türkiye
19%
Norway
18%
Australia
17%
Tunisia
16%
Croatia
16%
Canada
16%
Uzbekistan
15%
New Zealand
14%
South Korea
14%
Uruguay
13%
Netherlands
13%
Panama
12%
Qatar
11%
Colombia
11%
Jordan
9%
Iraq
8%
France
7%
Brazil
7%
South Africa
7%
Mexico
7%
Germany
7%
Switzerland
6%
Belgium
6%
Portugal
6%
England
6%
Spain
6%
Haiti
6%
Argentina
5%
Curaçao
5%
$994 Vol.
Scotland
43%
Czechia
42%
Ivory Coast
39%
Senegal
38%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Algeria
36%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
35%
DR Congo
33%
Ghana
32%
Sweden
28%
Iran
27%
Ecuador
26%
Austria
41%
Paraguay
24%
United States
24%
Japan
22%
Egypt
22%
Cape Verde
20%
Morocco
20%
Türkiye
19%
Norway
18%
Australia
17%
Tunisia
16%
Croatia
16%
Canada
16%
Uzbekistan
15%
New Zealand
14%
South Korea
14%
Uruguay
13%
Netherlands
13%
Panama
12%
Qatar
11%
Colombia
11%
Jordan
9%
Iraq
8%
France
7%
Brazil
7%
South Africa
7%
Mexico
7%
Germany
7%
Switzerland
6%
Belgium
6%
Portugal
6%
England
6%
Spain
6%
Haiti
6%
Argentina
5%
Curaçao
5%
A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”.
The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”.
The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 World Cup format features 12 groups of four teams, with the top two from each group advancing automatically to the round of 32 alongside the eight best third-placed sides. These third-place teams are ranked first by points earned across their three group matches, followed by goal difference, goals scored, fair play points, and FIFA ranking. With group stage matches just beginning, early results in groups featuring mid-tier sides like those in Groups B, D, and J create opportunities for competitive third-place records around 3-4 points. The specific round-of-32 matchups against group winners depend on the exact combination of advancing thirds, governed by FIFA's 495-scenario table in the regulations. Recent form, head-to-head results within groups, and schedule positioning will shape which teams post the strongest third-place metrics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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