Kimi Antonelli's three consecutive Grand Prix victories to open the 2026 Formula 1 season have established him as the early championship leader, earning him the highest implied probability among traders at 38.1 percent. His Mercedes teammate George Russell trails by 20 points after a strong opening win in Australia but has been outpaced in recent races, placing him at 30.5 percent in the market consensus. The tight clustering among the top contenders reflects the unpredictable nature of the long campaign ahead, where factors like upcoming circuits, reliability, and intra-team dynamics at Mercedes could shift momentum quickly. Lando Norris, Max Verstappen, and Oscar Piastri sit further back with single-digit probabilities, underscoring how early-season form and the competitive Mercedes package have compressed the title race into a genuine two-driver battle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트키미 안토넬리 38.1%
조지 러셀 31%
랜도 노리스 11.6%
막스 페르스타펀 6.2%
$150,028,888 거래량
$150,028,888 거래량
키미 안토넬리
38%
조지 러셀
31%
랜도 노리스
12%
막스 페르스타펀
6%
오스카 피아스트리
5%
샤를 르클레르
5%
루이스 해밀턴
2%
페르난도 알론소
<1%
에스테반 오콘
<1%
니코 휠켄베르크
<1%
아르비드 린드블라드
<1%
가브리엘 보르톨레토
<1%
프랑코 콜라핀토
<1%
알렉산더 알본
<1%
발테리 보타스
<1%
피에르 가슬리
<1%
리암 로슨
<1%
카를로스 사인츠 주니어
<1%
세르히오 페레즈
<1%
이삭 하드자르
<1%
랜스 스트롤
<1%
올리버 베어맨
<1%
키미 안토넬리 38.1%
조지 러셀 31%
랜도 노리스 11.6%
막스 페르스타펀 6.2%
$150,028,888 거래량
$150,028,888 거래량
키미 안토넬리
38%
조지 러셀
31%
랜도 노리스
12%
막스 페르스타펀
6%
오스카 피아스트리
5%
샤를 르클레르
5%
루이스 해밀턴
2%
페르난도 알론소
<1%
에스테반 오콘
<1%
니코 휠켄베르크
<1%
아르비드 린드블라드
<1%
가브리엘 보르톨레토
<1%
프랑코 콜라핀토
<1%
알렉산더 알본
<1%
발테리 보타스
<1%
피에르 가슬리
<1%
리암 로슨
<1%
카를로스 사인츠 주니어
<1%
세르히오 페레즈
<1%
이삭 하드자르
<1%
랜스 스트롤
<1%
올리버 베어맨
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
마켓 개설일: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli's three consecutive Grand Prix victories to open the 2026 Formula 1 season have established him as the early championship leader, earning him the highest implied probability among traders at 38.1 percent. His Mercedes teammate George Russell trails by 20 points after a strong opening win in Australia but has been outpaced in recent races, placing him at 30.5 percent in the market consensus. The tight clustering among the top contenders reflects the unpredictable nature of the long campaign ahead, where factors like upcoming circuits, reliability, and intra-team dynamics at Mercedes could shift momentum quickly. Lando Norris, Max Verstappen, and Oscar Piastri sit further back with single-digit probabilities, underscoring how early-season form and the competitive Mercedes package have compressed the title race into a genuine two-driver battle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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