**Jannik Sinner holds the top spot in trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title, reflecting his status as world No. 1 and consistent hard-court excellence.** Sinner reclaimed the ATP ranking summit in April by defeating Carlos Alcaraz in the Monte-Carlo final and has dominated recent seasons, though a high-profile second-round exit at Roland-Garros in late May—marked by cramps and physical fatigue after leading two sets and 5-1—raises questions about recovery heading into the North American swing. Alcaraz sits at 20% as the No. 2-ranked player and multiple-time major champion with proven hard-court pedigree, including strong results in recent US Opens. Lower probabilities for Novak Djokovic (5.7%), Alexander Zverev (4.9%), and others align with their current rankings, form, and the challenges of sustaining performance on outdoor hard courts against the Sinner-Alcaraz duo, with market pricing incorporating head-to-head records, recent clay-to-hard transitions, and schedule demands before Flushing Meadows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트야닉 시너 43%
카를로스 알카라스 21%
노박 조코비치 5.6%
알렉산더 즈베레프 4.9%
$2,086,135 거래량
$2,086,135 거래량
야닉 시너
43%
카를로스 알카라스
21%
노박 조코비치
6%
알렉산더 즈베레프
5%
테일러 프리츠
5%
다닐 메드베데프
3%
조아오 폰세카
3%
벤 셸턴
3%
야쿠브 멘시크
2%
잭 드레이퍼
2%
펠릭스 오제 알리아심
1%
아서르 피스
1%
플라비오 코볼리
1%
홀거 루네
1%
프란시스 티아포
1%
로렌초 무세티
1%
알렉산더 부블릭
1%
지리 레헤카
1%
안드레이 루블레프
1%
마테오 베레티니
1%
후베르트 후르카츠
<1%
그리고르 디미트로프
<1%
야닉 시너 43%
카를로스 알카라스 21%
노박 조코비치 5.6%
알렉산더 즈베레프 4.9%
$2,086,135 거래량
$2,086,135 거래량
야닉 시너
43%
카를로스 알카라스
21%
노박 조코비치
6%
알렉산더 즈베레프
5%
테일러 프리츠
5%
다닐 메드베데프
3%
조아오 폰세카
3%
벤 셸턴
3%
야쿠브 멘시크
2%
잭 드레이퍼
2%
펠릭스 오제 알리아심
1%
아서르 피스
1%
플라비오 코볼리
1%
홀거 루네
1%
프란시스 티아포
1%
로렌초 무세티
1%
알렉산더 부블릭
1%
지리 레헤카
1%
안드레이 루블레프
1%
마테오 베레티니
1%
후베르트 후르카츠
<1%
그리고르 디미트로프
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Jannik Sinner holds the top spot in trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open title, reflecting his status as world No. 1 and consistent hard-court excellence.** Sinner reclaimed the ATP ranking summit in April by defeating Carlos Alcaraz in the Monte-Carlo final and has dominated recent seasons, though a high-profile second-round exit at Roland-Garros in late May—marked by cramps and physical fatigue after leading two sets and 5-1—raises questions about recovery heading into the North American swing. Alcaraz sits at 20% as the No. 2-ranked player and multiple-time major champion with proven hard-court pedigree, including strong results in recent US Opens. Lower probabilities for Novak Djokovic (5.7%), Alexander Zverev (4.9%), and others align with their current rankings, form, and the challenges of sustaining performance on outdoor hard courts against the Sinner-Alcaraz duo, with market pricing incorporating head-to-head records, recent clay-to-hard transitions, and schedule demands before Flushing Meadows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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