António Guterres plans to complete his second term as UN Secretary-General on December 31, 2026, with the formal successor selection process already underway through candidate interviews and General Assembly dialogues. Recent statements from Guterres have framed 2026 explicitly as his final year in office, focusing on priorities such as peace initiatives and multilateral reforms without any signals of early resignation or external pressure to depart sooner. No major diplomatic crises, institutional challenges, or official actions in the past month have altered this timeline, supporting trader consensus that he will remain in the role through year-end. The implied probability reflects standard expectations for an incumbent completing a fixed term absent unforeseen developments.