Persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven the Bank of England's implied probability of at least one rate hike in 2026 to 70.5%. With Bank Rate held at 3.75% following the April 30 decision—despite an 8-1 vote and Chief Economist Huw Pill's dissent for a 25-basis-point increase—traders are pricing in upside risks to CPI, which stands at 3.3% against the 2% target. The latest Monetary Policy Report highlights second-round effects on wages and prices, shifting the policy stance toward a state-contingent tightening path. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 MPC meeting and forthcoming CPI releases, which could clarify whether the current market-implied odds reflect durable shifts in the rate trajectory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$27,500 거래량
$27,500 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$27,500 거래량
$27,500 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven the Bank of England's implied probability of at least one rate hike in 2026 to 70.5%. With Bank Rate held at 3.75% following the April 30 decision—despite an 8-1 vote and Chief Economist Huw Pill's dissent for a 25-basis-point increase—traders are pricing in upside risks to CPI, which stands at 3.3% against the 2% target. The latest Monetary Policy Report highlights second-round effects on wages and prices, shifting the policy stance toward a state-contingent tightening path. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 MPC meeting and forthcoming CPI releases, which could clarify whether the current market-implied odds reflect durable shifts in the rate trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
거래량
$27,500종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven the Bank of England's implied probability of at least one rate hike in 2026 to 70.5%. With Bank Rate held at 3.75% following the April 30 decision—despite an 8-1 vote and Chief Economist Huw Pill's dissent for a 25-basis-point increase—traders are pricing in upside risks to CPI, which stands at 3.3% against the 2% target. The latest Monetary Policy Report highlights second-round effects on wages and prices, shifting the policy stance toward a state-contingent tightening path. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 MPC meeting and forthcoming CPI releases, which could clarify whether the current market-implied odds reflect durable shifts in the rate trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$27,500종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven the Bank of England's implied probability of at least one rate hike in 2026 to 70.5%. With Bank Rate held at 3.75% following the April 30 decision—despite an 8-1 vote and Chief Economist Huw Pill's dissent for a 25-basis-point increase—traders are pricing in upside risks to CPI, which stands at 3.3% against the 2% target. The latest Monetary Policy Report highlights second-round effects on wages and prices, shifting the policy stance toward a state-contingent tightening path. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 MPC meeting and forthcoming CPI releases, which could clarify whether the current market-implied odds reflect durable shifts in the rate trajectory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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