Polymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation near 5.25%, with closely contested market-implied odds—5.00-5.49% at 25.7% and 5.50-5.99% at 22.4%—reflecting uncertainty over persistent above-target pressures despite Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.50% on April 29. April IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year, driven by food and transport costs, while the central bank's Focus survey has revised 2026 forecasts upward to 4.9% for six straight weeks amid sticky services inflation and resilient domestic demand. Key swing factors include global commodity risks from geopolitical tensions and the pace of further easing; watch May IPCA data (mid-June release) and June Copom for resolution catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5.00-5.49% 27.3%
4.50-4.99% 23.9%
7.00% 이상 8.1%
4.00-4.49% 8.0%
$57,305 거래량
$57,305 거래량
2027.01.12
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
8%
3.50-3.99%
2%
4.00-4.49%
8%
4.50-4.99%
16%
5.00-5.49%
26%
5.50-5.99%
23%
6.00-6.49%
5%
6.50-6.99%
6%
7.00% 이상
12%
5.00-5.49% 27.3%
4.50-4.99% 23.9%
7.00% 이상 8.1%
4.00-4.49% 8.0%
$57,305 거래량
$57,305 거래량
2027.01.12
<3.00%
$4,310 거래량
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$4,370 거래량
8%
3.50-3.99%
$8,996 거래량
2%
4.00-4.49%
$7,722 거래량
8%
4.50-4.99%
$7,022 거래량
16%
5.00-5.49%
$6,105 거래량
26%
5.50-5.99%
$5,695 거래량
23%
6.00-6.49%
$4,670 거래량
5%
6.50-6.99%
$4,858 거래량
6%
7.00% 이상
$3,556 거래량
12%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation near 5.25%, with closely contested market-implied odds—5.00-5.49% at 25.7% and 5.50-5.99% at 22.4%—reflecting uncertainty over persistent above-target pressures despite Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.50% on April 29. April IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year, driven by food and transport costs, while the central bank's Focus survey has revised 2026 forecasts upward to 4.9% for six straight weeks amid sticky services inflation and resilient domestic demand. Key swing factors include global commodity risks from geopolitical tensions and the pace of further easing; watch May IPCA data (mid-June release) and June Copom for resolution catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
마켓 개설일: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
거래량
$57,305종료일
2027.01.12마켓 개설일
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation near 5.25%, with closely contested market-implied odds—5.00-5.49% at 25.7% and 5.50-5.99% at 22.4%—reflecting uncertainty over persistent above-target pressures despite Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.50% on April 29. April IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year, driven by food and transport costs, while the central bank's Focus survey has revised 2026 forecasts upward to 4.9% for six straight weeks amid sticky services inflation and resilient domestic demand. Key swing factors include global commodity risks from geopolitical tensions and the pace of further easing; watch May IPCA data (mid-June release) and June Copom for resolution catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
거래량
$57,305종료일
2027.01.12마켓 개설일
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation near 5.25%, with closely contested market-implied odds—5.00-5.49% at 25.7% and 5.50-5.99% at 22.4%—reflecting uncertainty over persistent above-target pressures despite Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.50% on April 29. April IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year, driven by food and transport costs, while the central bank's Focus survey has revised 2026 forecasts upward to 4.9% for six straight weeks amid sticky services inflation and resilient domestic demand. Key swing factors include global commodity risks from geopolitical tensions and the pace of further easing; watch May IPCA data (mid-June release) and June Copom for resolution catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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