A Bolivian court issued an arrest warrant for former President Evo Morales on May 11 after he failed to appear for a human trafficking trial in Tarija, where he faces charges of impregnating a minor during his presidency. Morales, declared a fugitive with a travel ban, remains at large in the Chapare coca region, shielded by loyal MAS party militants who have vowed national insurgency if authorities attempt capture. This recent judicial escalation amid Bolivia's polarized politics—featuring factional rifts within the ruling MAS between Morales and President Luis Arce—has not led to detention attempts, underscoring logistical barriers and risks of unrest. Trader consensus at 73% "No" reflects skepticism over enforcement before May 31 absent major security operations or Morales's voluntary surrender.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,834 거래량
$11,834 거래량
2026.05.31
$11,834 거래량
$11,834 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Bolivian court issued an arrest warrant for former President Evo Morales on May 11 after he failed to appear for a human trafficking trial in Tarija, where he faces charges of impregnating a minor during his presidency. Morales, declared a fugitive with a travel ban, remains at large in the Chapare coca region, shielded by loyal MAS party militants who have vowed national insurgency if authorities attempt capture. This recent judicial escalation amid Bolivia's polarized politics—featuring factional rifts within the ruling MAS between Morales and President Luis Arce—has not led to detention attempts, underscoring logistical barriers and risks of unrest. Trader consensus at 73% "No" reflects skepticism over enforcement before May 31 absent major security operations or Morales's voluntary surrender.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
거래량
$11,834종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Bolivian court issued an arrest warrant for former President Evo Morales on May 11 after he failed to appear for a human trafficking trial in Tarija, where he faces charges of impregnating a minor during his presidency. Morales, declared a fugitive with a travel ban, remains at large in the Chapare coca region, shielded by loyal MAS party militants who have vowed national insurgency if authorities attempt capture. This recent judicial escalation amid Bolivia's polarized politics—featuring factional rifts within the ruling MAS between Morales and President Luis Arce—has not led to detention attempts, underscoring logistical barriers and risks of unrest. Trader consensus at 73% "No" reflects skepticism over enforcement before May 31 absent major security operations or Morales's voluntary surrender.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$11,834종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A Bolivian court issued an arrest warrant for former President Evo Morales on May 11 after he failed to appear for a human trafficking trial in Tarija, where he faces charges of impregnating a minor during his presidency. Morales, declared a fugitive with a travel ban, remains at large in the Chapare coca region, shielded by loyal MAS party militants who have vowed national insurgency if authorities attempt capture. This recent judicial escalation amid Bolivia's polarized politics—featuring factional rifts within the ruling MAS between Morales and President Luis Arce—has not led to detention attempts, underscoring logistical barriers and risks of unrest. Trader consensus at 73% "No" reflects skepticism over enforcement before May 31 absent major security operations or Morales's voluntary surrender.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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