France's commanding position in Group I stems from its unmatched squad depth, recent victories over South American sides in March, and back-to-back World Cup final appearances that underscore consistent tournament pedigree. Traders assign the highest implied probability to Les Bleus topping the group because of their ability to rotate players while maintaining quality across attack and defense. Norway sits second in consensus pricing, buoyed by Erling Haaland's scoring threat and an unbeaten qualifying campaign that produced high goal tallies. Senegal's realistic path to advancement rests on its organized defense and counterattacking style, though it trails in overall depth compared with the top two. Iraq remains the clear underdog, with limited recent success against elite opposition leaving little room for an upset in the opening matches scheduled for mid-June.