Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent "Safe Democratic" and "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s decision not to seek reelection has opened the seat, prompting a competitive Democratic primary on August 18 featuring multiple candidates including state Senator Shevrin Jones and Miami-Dade Commissioner Oliver Gilbert, while a single Republican has filed. The district’s voting patterns, including substantial support for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the general election regardless of the primary outcome. Late developments such as court challenges to Florida’s congressional map or unexpected primary shifts could introduce modest uncertainty but have not altered the current positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,739 거래량
$19,739 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
3%
$19,739 거래량
$19,739 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$8,452 거래량
95%
공화당
$11,287 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent "Safe Democratic" and "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s decision not to seek reelection has opened the seat, prompting a competitive Democratic primary on August 18 featuring multiple candidates including state Senator Shevrin Jones and Miami-Dade Commissioner Oliver Gilbert, while a single Republican has filed. The district’s voting patterns, including substantial support for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the general election regardless of the primary outcome. Late developments such as court challenges to Florida’s congressional map or unexpected primary shifts could introduce modest uncertainty but have not altered the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$19,739종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent "Safe Democratic" and "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s decision not to seek reelection has opened the seat, prompting a competitive Democratic primary on August 18 featuring multiple candidates including state Senator Shevrin Jones and Miami-Dade Commissioner Oliver Gilbert, while a single Republican has filed. The district’s voting patterns, including substantial support for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the general election regardless of the primary outcome. Late developments such as court challenges to Florida’s congressional map or unexpected primary shifts could introduce modest uncertainty but have not altered the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,739종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent "Safe Democratic" and "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Frederica Wilson’s decision not to seek reelection has opened the seat, prompting a competitive Democratic primary on August 18 featuring multiple candidates including state Senator Shevrin Jones and Miami-Dade Commissioner Oliver Gilbert, while a single Republican has filed. The district’s voting patterns, including substantial support for Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the general election regardless of the primary outcome. Late developments such as court challenges to Florida’s congressional map or unexpected primary shifts could introduce modest uncertainty but have not altered the current positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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