Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul highs near 31–33°C on July 13 amid the East Asian summer monsoon, with high humidity and variable cloud cover or scattered showers acting as key moderators. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 31–33°C, stems from model spread on steering patterns, potential typhoon influences farther south, and urban heat effects that can amplify or suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Short-range updates over the next 48 hours on precipitation timing and boundary-layer winds will likely refine these odds, as historical July variability shows daily maxima frequently fluctuating within this narrow range under similar synoptic conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 13일 서울에서 가장 높은 기온?
33°C 30%
32°C 28%
31°C 26%
34°C or higher 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
26%
32°C
28%
33°C
30%
34°C or higher
11%
33°C 30%
32°C 28%
31°C 26%
34°C or higher 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
26%
32°C
28%
33°C
30%
34°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul highs near 31–33°C on July 13 amid the East Asian summer monsoon, with high humidity and variable cloud cover or scattered showers acting as key moderators. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities around 31–33°C, stems from model spread on steering patterns, potential typhoon influences farther south, and urban heat effects that can amplify or suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Short-range updates over the next 48 hours on precipitation timing and boundary-layer winds will likely refine these odds, as historical July variability shows daily maxima frequently fluctuating within this narrow range under similar synoptic conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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