Current numerical weather model guidance points to daytime maxima in Tel Aviv on June 11 clustering near 29–30 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Regional forecasts incorporate a strengthening Mediterranean sea breeze that typically caps coastal highs by 1–2 °C compared with inland sites, while an upper-level ridge supports modest warming. Ensemble spreads from global and local models show most runs staying below 31 °C, with only limited solutions reaching 32 °C under reduced onshore flow. Historical June climatology for the coastal plain places average highs around 28–29 °C, providing a baseline against which current synoptic conditions are assessed. Updated short-range model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 11일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
30°C 43%
29°C 39%
31°C 12%
28°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
39%
30°C
43%
31°C
12%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C 이상
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 39%
31°C 12%
28°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
39%
30°C
43%
31°C
12%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather model guidance points to daytime maxima in Tel Aviv on June 11 clustering near 29–30 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Regional forecasts incorporate a strengthening Mediterranean sea breeze that typically caps coastal highs by 1–2 °C compared with inland sites, while an upper-level ridge supports modest warming. Ensemble spreads from global and local models show most runs staying below 31 °C, with only limited solutions reaching 32 °C under reduced onshore flow. Historical June climatology for the coastal plain places average highs around 28–29 °C, providing a baseline against which current synoptic conditions are assessed. Updated short-range model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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