Trader consensus heavily favors no prison time for Jack Doherty at 75.3% implied probability, driven by the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a controlled substance (possibly cocaine per January 2026 hearing), plus misdemeanor marijuana possession under 20 grams and resisting arrest without violence—which typically resolve via plea deals, probation, or diversion programs for first-time influencers rather than incarceration. Doherty waived in-person appearance at the January 15 hearing due to celebrity status, with no conviction yet; a pivotal trial hearing looms on May 18, 2026, that could prompt settlement talks and solidify the no-prison outlook amid high uncertainty in celebrity legal outcomes. Lower probabilities for prison reflect rare maximum penalties exceeding realistic sentencing precedents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트잭 도허티 교도소 시간?
잭 도허티 교도소 시간?
징역 없음 75.3%
2~5년 10.7%
2년 미만 3.6%
5년 이상 1.4%
$18,969 거래량
$18,969 거래량
2026.10.31
징역 없음
75%
2년 미만
11%
2~5년
11%
5년 이상
1%
징역 없음 75.3%
2~5년 10.7%
2년 미만 3.6%
5년 이상 1.4%
$18,969 거래량
$18,969 거래량
2026.10.31
징역 없음
$12,247 거래량
75%
2년 미만
$2,806 거래량
11%
2~5년
$1,875 거래량
11%
5년 이상
$2,040 거래량
1%
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no prison time for Jack Doherty at 75.3% implied probability, driven by the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a controlled substance (possibly cocaine per January 2026 hearing), plus misdemeanor marijuana possession under 20 grams and resisting arrest without violence—which typically resolve via plea deals, probation, or diversion programs for first-time influencers rather than incarceration. Doherty waived in-person appearance at the January 15 hearing due to celebrity status, with no conviction yet; a pivotal trial hearing looms on May 18, 2026, that could prompt settlement talks and solidify the no-prison outlook amid high uncertainty in celebrity legal outcomes. Lower probabilities for prison reflect rare maximum penalties exceeding realistic sentencing precedents.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
거래량
$18,969종료일
2026.10.31마켓 개설일
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no prison time for Jack Doherty at 75.3% implied probability, driven by the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a controlled substance (possibly cocaine per January 2026 hearing), plus misdemeanor marijuana possession under 20 grams and resisting arrest without violence—which typically resolve via plea deals, probation, or diversion programs for first-time influencers rather than incarceration. Doherty waived in-person appearance at the January 15 hearing due to celebrity status, with no conviction yet; a pivotal trial hearing looms on May 18, 2026, that could prompt settlement talks and solidify the no-prison outlook amid high uncertainty in celebrity legal outcomes. Lower probabilities for prison reflect rare maximum penalties exceeding realistic sentencing precedents.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$18,969종료일
2026.10.31마켓 개설일
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no prison time for Jack Doherty at 75.3% implied probability, driven by the minor nature of his November 2025 Miami Beach charges—felony possession of a controlled substance (possibly cocaine per January 2026 hearing), plus misdemeanor marijuana possession under 20 grams and resisting arrest without violence—which typically resolve via plea deals, probation, or diversion programs for first-time influencers rather than incarceration. Doherty waived in-person appearance at the January 15 hearing due to celebrity status, with no conviction yet; a pivotal trial hearing looms on May 18, 2026, that could prompt settlement talks and solidify the no-prison outlook amid high uncertainty in celebrity legal outcomes. Lower probabilities for prison reflect rare maximum penalties exceeding realistic sentencing precedents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문