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캔자스 대법원 선거 수정안 통과?

icon for 캔자스 대법원 선거 수정안 통과?

캔자스 대법원 선거 수정안 통과?

47% 확률
Polymarket
신규

47% 확률
Polymarket
신규
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).The closely contested Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment reflects divided legislative support and competing views on judicial selection methods, with retention elections versus partisan ballots remaining a central point of debate. Recent sessions have seen proposals advance through committee but face uncertain floor votes and potential gubernatorial considerations, creating balanced trader sentiment around the 50 percent threshold. Key variables include turnout among rural and urban voters, endorsements from bar associations and political organizations, and any late-session compromises on amendment language. Scheduled legislative activity or public polling on the ballot measure could shift implied probabilities in either direction before voters decide.

Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).
거래량
$2
종료일
2026.08.04
마켓 개설일
Jun 25, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).The closely contested Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment reflects divided legislative support and competing views on judicial selection methods, with retention elections versus partisan ballots remaining a central point of debate. Recent sessions have seen proposals advance through committee but face uncertain floor votes and potential gubernatorial considerations, creating balanced trader sentiment around the 50 percent threshold. Key variables include turnout among rural and urban voters, endorsements from bar associations and political organizations, and any late-session compromises on amendment language. Scheduled legislative activity or public polling on the ballot measure could shift implied probabilities in either direction before voters decide.

Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).
거래량
$2
종료일
2026.08.04
마켓 개설일
Jun 25, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Kansas voters are scheduled to vote in the August 4, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would create partisan elections and six-year terms for supreme court justices. You can read the text of the measure here: https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment passes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rules apply to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the referendum is rescheduled to be held later than that date, or otherwise cancelled. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Kansas, specifically the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/).

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"캔자스 대법원 선거 수정안 통과?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 2개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

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