Traders assign an 89.5 percent probability that Kristi Noem will not face impeachment in 2026 because she left her role as Homeland Security secretary in March after President Trump announced her departure and named a successor. Democratic lawmakers had introduced articles of impeachment in January citing obstruction of congressional oversight and issues tied to immigration enforcement, including officer-involved incidents, but the Republican-controlled House never advanced the measure. With Noem no longer in federal office, the procedural path to impeachment has closed, and no subsequent developments have revived proceedings. Historical patterns show governors and cabinet officials rarely face successful impeachment absent sustained bipartisan support or criminal convictions, reinforcing the current consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$17,632 거래량
$17,632 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$17,632 거래량
$17,632 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Traders assign an 89.5 percent probability that Kristi Noem will not face impeachment in 2026 because she left her role as Homeland Security secretary in March after President Trump announced her departure and named a successor. Democratic lawmakers had introduced articles of impeachment in January citing obstruction of congressional oversight and issues tied to immigration enforcement, including officer-involved incidents, but the Republican-controlled House never advanced the measure. With Noem no longer in federal office, the procedural path to impeachment has closed, and no subsequent developments have revived proceedings. Historical patterns show governors and cabinet officials rarely face successful impeachment absent sustained bipartisan support or criminal convictions, reinforcing the current consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
거래량
$17,632종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Traders assign an 89.5 percent probability that Kristi Noem will not face impeachment in 2026 because she left her role as Homeland Security secretary in March after President Trump announced her departure and named a successor. Democratic lawmakers had introduced articles of impeachment in January citing obstruction of congressional oversight and issues tied to immigration enforcement, including officer-involved incidents, but the Republican-controlled House never advanced the measure. With Noem no longer in federal office, the procedural path to impeachment has closed, and no subsequent developments have revived proceedings. Historical patterns show governors and cabinet officials rarely face successful impeachment absent sustained bipartisan support or criminal convictions, reinforcing the current consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
거래량
$17,632종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 89.5 percent probability that Kristi Noem will not face impeachment in 2026 because she left her role as Homeland Security secretary in March after President Trump announced her departure and named a successor. Democratic lawmakers had introduced articles of impeachment in January citing obstruction of congressional oversight and issues tied to immigration enforcement, including officer-involved incidents, but the Republican-controlled House never advanced the measure. With Noem no longer in federal office, the procedural path to impeachment has closed, and no subsequent developments have revived proceedings. Historical patterns show governors and cabinet officials rarely face successful impeachment absent sustained bipartisan support or criminal convictions, reinforcing the current consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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