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스포츠·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
스포츠·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 21%

Munetaka Murakami 18%

Yordan Alvarez 6.5%

Polymarket
신규

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 21%

Munetaka Murakami 18%

Yordan Alvarez 6.5%

Polymarket
신규

Aaron Judge

$141 거래량

37%

Kyle Schwarber

$386 거래량

21%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,361 거래량

18%

Yordan Alvarez

$5 거래량

6%

Matt Olson

$661 거래량

6%

James Wood

$5 거래량

5%

Shohei Ohtani

$177 거래량

2%

Brandon Lowe

$5 거래량

2%

Elly De La Cruz

$161 거래량

2%

Ben Rice

$5 거래량

2%

Jordan Walker

$5 거래량

2%

CJ Abrams

$5 거래량

1%

Shea Langeliers

$201 거래량

1%

Manny Machado

$5 거래량

1%

Cal Raleigh

$5 거래량

1%

Junior Caminero

$5 거래량

1%

Nick Kurtz

$32 거래량

1%

Sal Stewart

$5 거래량

1%

George Springer

$27 거래량

1%

Mike Trout

$5 거래량

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$5 거래량

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$5 거래량

1%

Juan Soto

$5 거래량

1%

Rafael Devers

$5 거래량

1%

Pete Alonso

$5 거래량

1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Aaron Judge at 37% implied probability to lead MLB in home runs despite trailing Kyle Schwarber's league-leading 17 to his 16, reflecting Judge's elite track record as recent AL home run king (58 in 2024, 53 in 2025), superior OPS (1.036, 3rd overall), and Yankee Stadium's short porch boosting his pull power over a full 162 games. Schwarber's 20% share surged on a scorching five-day streak with six homers through May 13, tying the MLB lead temporarily and showcasing his leadoff launch angle prowess despite a .229 average. Munetaka Murakami's 18% holds on a rookie sensation's 15 homers in 41 games with the White Sox, including a May 8 blast, though his .228 average and 55 strikeouts raise sustainability questions. Lower-tier options like Olson and Alvarez (both 6%) lag further on pace, with the early-season volatility emphasizing rest-of-year projections amid healthy rosters.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$4,227
종료일
2026.09.28
마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Aaron Judge at 37% implied probability to lead MLB in home runs despite trailing Kyle Schwarber's league-leading 17 to his 16, reflecting Judge's elite track record as recent AL home run king (58 in 2024, 53 in 2025), superior OPS (1.036, 3rd overall), and Yankee Stadium's short porch boosting his pull power over a full 162 games. Schwarber's 20% share surged on a scorching five-day streak with six homers through May 13, tying the MLB lead temporarily and showcasing his leadoff launch angle prowess despite a .229 average. Munetaka Murakami's 18% holds on a rookie sensation's 15 homers in 41 games with the White Sox, including a May 8 blast, though his .228 average and 55 strikeouts raise sustainability questions. Lower-tier options like Olson and Alvarez (both 6%) lag further on pace, with the early-season volatility emphasizing rest-of-year projections amid healthy rosters.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$4,227
종료일
2026.09.28
마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"MLB: Home Runs Leader"은 25개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 37%의 "Aaron Judge"이며, 이어서 21%의 "Kyle Schwarber"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 37¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 37%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Apr 22, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 25개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader"의 현재 유력 후보는 37%의 "Aaron Judge"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 37%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 21%의 "Kyle Schwarber"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.