Trader consensus prices "No" at 83.5% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, reflecting the feat's extreme historical rarity—only 24 across more than 240,000 games—and the league's persistent no-hitter drought through mid-May, mirroring 2025's season-long shutout. Paul Skenes carried a perfect game bid into the seventh inning on April 24 before Jake Bauers' single ended it, showcasing elite strikeout command but highlighting the razor-thin margin for error over 27 outs, compounded by modern pitch-count limits that curtail complete games in rotations. No other major bids have emerged recently, anchoring low expectations despite strong early ERAs from aces like Tarik Skubal and Garrett Crochet.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 83.5% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, reflecting the feat's extreme historical rarity—only 24 across more than 240,000 games—and the league's persistent no-hitter drought through mid-May, mirroring 2025's season-long shutout. Paul Skenes carried a perfect game bid into the seventh inning on April 24 before Jake Bauers' single ended it, showcasing elite strikeout command but highlighting the razor-thin margin for error over 27 outs, compounded by modern pitch-count limits that curtail complete games in rotations. No other major bids have emerged recently, anchoring low expectations despite strong early ERAs from aces like Tarik Skubal and Garrett Crochet.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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