Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister appears secure through late 2026, with traders assigning an 88.3% implied probability that he remains in office. The Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance delivered strong results in May 2026 state assembly elections, including a decisive victory in West Bengal that expanded NDA control to 21 states and union territories. These outcomes reinforced party unity and electoral momentum heading toward the 2029 national polls. No official statements, health developments, or internal party moves have signaled an early exit, and recurring retirement rumors have been repeatedly debunked by government sources. Absent major disruptions such as economic shocks or coalition fractures, the current political stability supports expectations of continuity through the end of the year.