Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure heading into late 2026, with traders assigning an 87% implied probability that he stays in office through December. Recent state assembly victories, including a decisive NDA landslide in West Bengal, have expanded the coalition's control to 21 states and territories, reinforcing parliamentary strength ahead of the 2029 national polls. Modi's active diplomatic schedule, including recent visits to the UAE and Europe focused on defense and trade pacts, signals ongoing governance continuity without signs of internal party pressure or health-related disruptions. Historical patterns of incumbency advantage and the BJP's organizational dominance further support this consensus, absent any major legislative setbacks or coalition fractures in the coming months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$33,680 거래량
$33,680 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$33,680 거래량
$33,680 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure heading into late 2026, with traders assigning an 87% implied probability that he stays in office through December. Recent state assembly victories, including a decisive NDA landslide in West Bengal, have expanded the coalition's control to 21 states and territories, reinforcing parliamentary strength ahead of the 2029 national polls. Modi's active diplomatic schedule, including recent visits to the UAE and Europe focused on defense and trade pacts, signals ongoing governance continuity without signs of internal party pressure or health-related disruptions. Historical patterns of incumbency advantage and the BJP's organizational dominance further support this consensus, absent any major legislative setbacks or coalition fractures in the coming months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
거래량
$33,680종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure heading into late 2026, with traders assigning an 87% implied probability that he stays in office through December. Recent state assembly victories, including a decisive NDA landslide in West Bengal, have expanded the coalition's control to 21 states and territories, reinforcing parliamentary strength ahead of the 2029 national polls. Modi's active diplomatic schedule, including recent visits to the UAE and Europe focused on defense and trade pacts, signals ongoing governance continuity without signs of internal party pressure or health-related disruptions. Historical patterns of incumbency advantage and the BJP's organizational dominance further support this consensus, absent any major legislative setbacks or coalition fractures in the coming months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$33,680종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure heading into late 2026, with traders assigning an 87% implied probability that he stays in office through December. Recent state assembly victories, including a decisive NDA landslide in West Bengal, have expanded the coalition's control to 21 states and territories, reinforcing parliamentary strength ahead of the 2029 national polls. Modi's active diplomatic schedule, including recent visits to the UAE and Europe focused on defense and trade pacts, signals ongoing governance continuity without signs of internal party pressure or health-related disruptions. Historical patterns of incumbency advantage and the BJP's organizational dominance further support this consensus, absent any major legislative setbacks or coalition fractures in the coming months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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