Joey Chestnut’s consistent dominance in the men’s division drives the near-certain trader consensus, with the 17-time champion posting 70.5 hot dogs and buns in 2025 and holding the overall Nathan’s record of 76. The women’s side, led by Miki Sudo’s 2025 total of 33 and her all-time mark of 51 set in 2024, has never approached those levels despite Sudo’s repeated titles. Other male competitors routinely surpass 45–50 in recent contests, while female totals cluster well below that range. This sustained performance gap across multiple years underpins the 97% implied probability for the men’s total exceeding the women’s. Realistic variables that could narrow the margin include Chestnut’s absence or an off-day due to injury or conditioning, combined with an outlier women’s performance approaching or exceeding 50, though historical data shows such convergence remains unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total
Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Men’s vs. Women’s Higher Total
Men
신규
신규
2026.07.04
Men
신규
신규
2026.07.04
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Joey Chestnut’s consistent dominance in the men’s division drives the near-certain trader consensus, with the 17-time champion posting 70.5 hot dogs and buns in 2025 and holding the overall Nathan’s record of 76. The women’s side, led by Miki Sudo’s 2025 total of 33 and her all-time mark of 51 set in 2024, has never approached those levels despite Sudo’s repeated titles. Other male competitors routinely surpass 45–50 in recent contests, while female totals cluster well below that range. This sustained performance gap across multiple years underpins the 97% implied probability for the men’s total exceeding the women’s. Realistic variables that could narrow the margin include Chestnut’s absence or an off-day due to injury or conditioning, combined with an outlier women’s performance approaching or exceeding 50, though historical data shows such convergence remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 2, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
거래량
$11종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Joey Chestnut’s consistent dominance in the men’s division drives the near-certain trader consensus, with the 17-time champion posting 70.5 hot dogs and buns in 2025 and holding the overall Nathan’s record of 76. The women’s side, led by Miki Sudo’s 2025 total of 33 and her all-time mark of 51 set in 2024, has never approached those levels despite Sudo’s repeated titles. Other male competitors routinely surpass 45–50 in recent contests, while female totals cluster well below that range. This sustained performance gap across multiple years underpins the 97% implied probability for the men’s total exceeding the women’s. Realistic variables that could narrow the margin include Chestnut’s absence or an off-day due to injury or conditioning, combined with an outlier women’s performance approaching or exceeding 50, though historical data shows such convergence remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Men” if the total HDBs eaten by the men's winner is higher than the total HDBs eaten by the Women’s winner at the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Women”.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If either of the men’s or women’s competitions is incomplete, cancelled, postponed without a make-up date by July 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Eating . A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$11종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Joey Chestnut’s consistent dominance in the men’s division drives the near-certain trader consensus, with the 17-time champion posting 70.5 hot dogs and buns in 2025 and holding the overall Nathan’s record of 76. The women’s side, led by Miki Sudo’s 2025 total of 33 and her all-time mark of 51 set in 2024, has never approached those levels despite Sudo’s repeated titles. Other male competitors routinely surpass 45–50 in recent contests, while female totals cluster well below that range. This sustained performance gap across multiple years underpins the 97% implied probability for the men’s total exceeding the women’s. Realistic variables that could narrow the margin include Chestnut’s absence or an off-day due to injury or conditioning, combined with an outlier women’s performance approaching or exceeding 50, though historical data shows such convergence remains unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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