MLB traders' consensus favors no new Collective Bargaining Agreement by the December 1 expiration, reflecting the nascent stage of talks between MLB and the MLBPA after their first official meeting this week in New York City. With the current five-year deal—ratified post-2022 lockout—ending at 11:59 p.m., owners are pushing a salary cap, expanded luxury tax thresholds, and revenue sharing reforms to address competitive balance amid rising contracts like Ohtani's, while the union resists structural changes favoring small-market teams. Historical patterns of protracted negotiations, often extending into work stoppages, combined with opening presentations showing deep divides, underpin the 60.5% implied probability on "No," as substantive progress remains distant seven months out.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.01
신규
신규
2026.12.01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB traders' consensus favors no new Collective Bargaining Agreement by the December 1 expiration, reflecting the nascent stage of talks between MLB and the MLBPA after their first official meeting this week in New York City. With the current five-year deal—ratified post-2022 lockout—ending at 11:59 p.m., owners are pushing a salary cap, expanded luxury tax thresholds, and revenue sharing reforms to address competitive balance amid rising contracts like Ohtani's, while the union resists structural changes favoring small-market teams. Historical patterns of protracted negotiations, often extending into work stoppages, combined with opening presentations showing deep divides, underpin the 60.5% implied probability on "No," as substantive progress remains distant seven months out.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
거래량
$6,183종료일
2026.12.01마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB traders' consensus favors no new Collective Bargaining Agreement by the December 1 expiration, reflecting the nascent stage of talks between MLB and the MLBPA after their first official meeting this week in New York City. With the current five-year deal—ratified post-2022 lockout—ending at 11:59 p.m., owners are pushing a salary cap, expanded luxury tax thresholds, and revenue sharing reforms to address competitive balance amid rising contracts like Ohtani's, while the union resists structural changes favoring small-market teams. Historical patterns of protracted negotiations, often extending into work stoppages, combined with opening presentations showing deep divides, underpin the 60.5% implied probability on "No," as substantive progress remains distant seven months out.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$6,183종료일
2026.12.01마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...MLB traders' consensus favors no new Collective Bargaining Agreement by the December 1 expiration, reflecting the nascent stage of talks between MLB and the MLBPA after their first official meeting this week in New York City. With the current five-year deal—ratified post-2022 lockout—ending at 11:59 p.m., owners are pushing a salary cap, expanded luxury tax thresholds, and revenue sharing reforms to address competitive balance amid rising contracts like Ohtani's, while the union resists structural changes favoring small-market teams. Historical patterns of protracted negotiations, often extending into work stoppages, combined with opening presentations showing deep divides, underpin the 60.5% implied probability on "No," as substantive progress remains distant seven months out.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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