Negotiations between Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association opened on May 12 with preliminary overviews but no formal proposals, leaving core disputes over a salary cap, revenue sharing, and competitive balance tax unresolved. Historical precedent from the 2021-22 talks, which produced a 99-day lockout before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that bargaining will extend past the Dec. 1 expiration. With the MLBPA maintaining significant leverage and owners prioritizing cost controls, the current 63.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the anticipated timeline for a potential lockout and delayed agreement into early 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.01
신규
신규
2026.12.01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations between Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association opened on May 12 with preliminary overviews but no formal proposals, leaving core disputes over a salary cap, revenue sharing, and competitive balance tax unresolved. Historical precedent from the 2021-22 talks, which produced a 99-day lockout before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that bargaining will extend past the Dec. 1 expiration. With the MLBPA maintaining significant leverage and owners prioritizing cost controls, the current 63.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the anticipated timeline for a potential lockout and delayed agreement into early 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
거래량
$6,183종료일
2026.12.01마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations between Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association opened on May 12 with preliminary overviews but no formal proposals, leaving core disputes over a salary cap, revenue sharing, and competitive balance tax unresolved. Historical precedent from the 2021-22 talks, which produced a 99-day lockout before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that bargaining will extend past the Dec. 1 expiration. With the MLBPA maintaining significant leverage and owners prioritizing cost controls, the current 63.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the anticipated timeline for a potential lockout and delayed agreement into early 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$6,183종료일
2026.12.01마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association opened on May 12 with preliminary overviews but no formal proposals, leaving core disputes over a salary cap, revenue sharing, and competitive balance tax unresolved. Historical precedent from the 2021-22 talks, which produced a 99-day lockout before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that bargaining will extend past the Dec. 1 expiration. With the MLBPA maintaining significant leverage and owners prioritizing cost controls, the current 63.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the anticipated timeline for a potential lockout and delayed agreement into early 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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