Trader consensus heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 91% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next manager, driven by reports over the past 48 hours of final negotiations and a verbal agreement reached with club president Florentino Pérez, positioning him as the sole candidate to replace interim head coach Álvaro Arbeloa. Arbeloa's tenure, starting in January after Xabi Alonso's midseason sacking, faltered with a Champions League exit to Bayern Munich in April and a faltering La Liga title challenge, prompting a summer overhaul despite his 49.5% standing from loyalty and recent stability. Mourinho's prior Bernabéu stint (2010-13), including a record 100-point La Liga season, bolsters his appeal for instant impact. Scenarios like Pérez's final veto, club elections delaying the hire, or Arbeloa's retention could still shift odds, though trader sentiment reflects near-certainty on the Special One's return.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트조세 무리뉴 92%
디디에 데샹 4.0%
토마스 투헬 3.0%
위르겐 클롭 1.7%
$116,302 거래량
$116,302 거래량
조세 무리뉴
92%
디디에 데샹
4%
토마스 투헬
3%
위르겐 클롭
2%
지네딘 지단
1%
마우리시오 포체티노
1%
루이스 엔리케
1%
마시밀리아노 알레그리
1%
엔초 마레스카
1%
우나이 에메리
1%
미켈 아르테타
1%
줄리안 나겔스만
1%
안도니 이라우라
<1%
로베르토 데 체르비
<1%
올리버 글라스너
<1%
리오넬 스칼로니
<1%
조세 무리뉴 92%
디디에 데샹 4.0%
토마스 투헬 3.0%
위르겐 클롭 1.7%
$116,302 거래량
$116,302 거래량
조세 무리뉴
92%
디디에 데샹
4%
토마스 투헬
3%
위르겐 클롭
2%
지네딘 지단
1%
마우리시오 포체티노
1%
루이스 엔리케
1%
마시밀리아노 알레그리
1%
엔초 마레스카
1%
우나이 에메리
1%
미켈 아르테타
1%
줄리안 나겔스만
1%
안도니 이라우라
<1%
로베르토 데 체르비
<1%
올리버 글라스너
<1%
리오넬 스칼로니
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 91% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next manager, driven by reports over the past 48 hours of final negotiations and a verbal agreement reached with club president Florentino Pérez, positioning him as the sole candidate to replace interim head coach Álvaro Arbeloa. Arbeloa's tenure, starting in January after Xabi Alonso's midseason sacking, faltered with a Champions League exit to Bayern Munich in April and a faltering La Liga title challenge, prompting a summer overhaul despite his 49.5% standing from loyalty and recent stability. Mourinho's prior Bernabéu stint (2010-13), including a record 100-point La Liga season, bolsters his appeal for instant impact. Scenarios like Pérez's final veto, club elections delaying the hire, or Arbeloa's retention could still shift odds, though trader sentiment reflects near-certainty on the Special One's return.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문