**Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody at a high-security facility in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces in Caracas amid narco-terrorism charges, to which he pleaded not guilty during his January 5 arraignment.** His most recent court appearance on March 25 showcased a defiant posture under special administrative measures restricting communication. With no verified developments in the past 30 days altering his detention status, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for near-term release, driven by the gravity of U.S. Department of Justice prosecutions, ongoing trial proceedings, and geopolitical tensions including Venezuela's interim government's prisoner releases in response. Upcoming hearings could influence outcomes, though historical patterns in extradition cases suggest prolonged legal battles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$2,617,973 거래량
2026.01.31
12월 31일
15%
$2,617,973 거래량
12월 31일
$222,524 거래량
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody at a high-security facility in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces in Caracas amid narco-terrorism charges, to which he pleaded not guilty during his January 5 arraignment.** His most recent court appearance on March 25 showcased a defiant posture under special administrative measures restricting communication. With no verified developments in the past 30 days altering his detention status, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for near-term release, driven by the gravity of U.S. Department of Justice prosecutions, ongoing trial proceedings, and geopolitical tensions including Venezuela's interim government's prisoner releases in response. Upcoming hearings could influence outcomes, though historical patterns in extradition cases suggest prolonged legal battles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
거래량
$2,617,973종료일
2026.01.31마켓 개설일
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody at a high-security facility in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces in Caracas amid narco-terrorism charges, to which he pleaded not guilty during his January 5 arraignment.** His most recent court appearance on March 25 showcased a defiant posture under special administrative measures restricting communication. With no verified developments in the past 30 days altering his detention status, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for near-term release, driven by the gravity of U.S. Department of Justice prosecutions, ongoing trial proceedings, and geopolitical tensions including Venezuela's interim government's prisoner releases in response. Upcoming hearings could influence outcomes, though historical patterns in extradition cases suggest prolonged legal battles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$2,617,973종료일
2026.01.31마켓 개설일
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. custody at a high-security facility in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026, capture by American forces in Caracas amid narco-terrorism charges, to which he pleaded not guilty during his January 5 arraignment.** His most recent court appearance on March 25 showcased a defiant posture under special administrative measures restricting communication. With no verified developments in the past 30 days altering his detention status, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for near-term release, driven by the gravity of U.S. Department of Justice prosecutions, ongoing trial proceedings, and geopolitical tensions including Venezuela's interim government's prisoner releases in response. Upcoming hearings could influence outcomes, though historical patterns in extradition cases suggest prolonged legal battles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문