The Supreme Court’s signals during December 2025 oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter have driven trader expectations that the Court will uphold presidential authority to remove FTC commissioners without cause. Justices questioned the continued validity of the 1935 Humphrey’s Executor precedent protecting for-cause removal at independent agencies, with a conservative majority appearing ready to expand executive removal power over multimember commissions. The Court had already granted a stay in September 2025 allowing the March 2025 firing of Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter to take effect pending a merits decision expected by June 2026. This procedural history and questioning align with broader recent trends limiting agency independence, producing the current 80.8% implied probability for a ruling permitting the removals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$21,423 거래량
$21,423 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$21,423 거래량
$21,423 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Supreme Court’s signals during December 2025 oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter have driven trader expectations that the Court will uphold presidential authority to remove FTC commissioners without cause. Justices questioned the continued validity of the 1935 Humphrey’s Executor precedent protecting for-cause removal at independent agencies, with a conservative majority appearing ready to expand executive removal power over multimember commissions. The Court had already granted a stay in September 2025 allowing the March 2025 firing of Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter to take effect pending a merits decision expected by June 2026. This procedural history and questioning align with broader recent trends limiting agency independence, producing the current 80.8% implied probability for a ruling permitting the removals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
거래량
$21,423종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Supreme Court’s signals during December 2025 oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter have driven trader expectations that the Court will uphold presidential authority to remove FTC commissioners without cause. Justices questioned the continued validity of the 1935 Humphrey’s Executor precedent protecting for-cause removal at independent agencies, with a conservative majority appearing ready to expand executive removal power over multimember commissions. The Court had already granted a stay in September 2025 allowing the March 2025 firing of Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter to take effect pending a merits decision expected by June 2026. This procedural history and questioning align with broader recent trends limiting agency independence, producing the current 80.8% implied probability for a ruling permitting the removals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$21,423종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s signals during December 2025 oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter have driven trader expectations that the Court will uphold presidential authority to remove FTC commissioners without cause. Justices questioned the continued validity of the 1935 Humphrey’s Executor precedent protecting for-cause removal at independent agencies, with a conservative majority appearing ready to expand executive removal power over multimember commissions. The Court had already granted a stay in September 2025 allowing the March 2025 firing of Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter to take effect pending a merits decision expected by June 2026. This procedural history and questioning align with broader recent trends limiting agency independence, producing the current 80.8% implied probability for a ruling permitting the removals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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