Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed to March 2027, establishing a clear procedural timeline that underpins the dominant market position for no vote occurring before 2027. This delay follows a pattern of past schedule adjustments amid institutional preparations and aligns with the new administration’s focus on consolidating the November 2024 presidential and party results. Waddani, the party of the current president, holds the strongest recent electoral mandate and governing position among the three recognized national parties. UCID and Kulmiye trail in implied trader assessment, reflecting their respective seat shares from prior contests and the shift in executive control. Scheduled events within the resolution window remain limited to routine administrative steps, with no immediate catalysts identified to accelerate the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2027년 이전 선거 없음 73%
와다니 22.1%
정의와 복지 (UCID) 5.2%
Kulmiye 1.7%
$18,556 거래량
$18,556 거래량

2027년 이전 선거 없음
73%

와다니
22%

정의와 복지 (UCID)
5%

Kulmiye
2%
2027년 이전 선거 없음 73%
와다니 22.1%
정의와 복지 (UCID) 5.2%
Kulmiye 1.7%
$18,556 거래량
$18,556 거래량

2027년 이전 선거 없음
73%

와다니
22%

정의와 복지 (UCID)
5%

Kulmiye
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed to March 2027, establishing a clear procedural timeline that underpins the dominant market position for no vote occurring before 2027. This delay follows a pattern of past schedule adjustments amid institutional preparations and aligns with the new administration’s focus on consolidating the November 2024 presidential and party results. Waddani, the party of the current president, holds the strongest recent electoral mandate and governing position among the three recognized national parties. UCID and Kulmiye trail in implied trader assessment, reflecting their respective seat shares from prior contests and the shift in executive control. Scheduled events within the resolution window remain limited to routine administrative steps, with no immediate catalysts identified to accelerate the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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