Traders have priced an 87% implied probability of a South African Reserve Bank rate increase at the May 28 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting heightened upside risks to inflation from elevated fuel prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. The repo rate has held at 6.75% since the unanimous March pause, following February CPI at the 3% target, yet the April Monetary Policy Review flagged second-round effects that could lift headline inflation toward 4% in the second quarter. Forward-rate agreements now embed a 25-basis-point hike to 7.00%, consistent with revisions from firms such as Goldman Sachs projecting two increases this year. April CPI data and persistent energy-price volatility remain the key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or temper this hawkish repricing ahead of the decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Increase 87.0%
No Change 11%
Decrease 1.7%
$10,545 거래량
$10,545 거래량
Decrease
2%
No Change
11%
Increase
87%
Increase 87.0%
No Change 11%
Decrease 1.7%
$10,545 거래량
$10,545 거래량
Decrease
2%
No Change
11%
Increase
87%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders have priced an 87% implied probability of a South African Reserve Bank rate increase at the May 28 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting heightened upside risks to inflation from elevated fuel prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. The repo rate has held at 6.75% since the unanimous March pause, following February CPI at the 3% target, yet the April Monetary Policy Review flagged second-round effects that could lift headline inflation toward 4% in the second quarter. Forward-rate agreements now embed a 25-basis-point hike to 7.00%, consistent with revisions from firms such as Goldman Sachs projecting two increases this year. April CPI data and persistent energy-price volatility remain the key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or temper this hawkish repricing ahead of the decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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