Recent trailer releases have sharpened focus on *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*’s July 31 domestic bow, with early tracking and industry estimates clustering near $195–220 million amid a post-pandemic economy and a fresh narrative reset rather than multiverse nostalgia. Traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to sub-$200 million because comparable solo Spider-Man launches and current presale momentum point to tempered rather than blockbuster debuts, while the tight cluster around $200–260 million brackets reflects uncertainty over how strongly marketing and word-of-mouth will convert amid competition from other summer tentpoles. Presales opening in the coming weeks and any late shifts in critical or audience sentiment remain the key swing factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트"스파이더맨: 브랜뉴데이" 개봉 주말 박스오피스
"스파이더맨: 브랜뉴데이" 개봉 주말 박스오피스
2억 4천만~2억 6천만 달러 33%
2억 2천만~2억 4천만 달러 32%
2억~2억2천만 달러 28%
>2억8천만 27%
신규
신규
2026.08.02
2억 달러 미만
23%
2억~2억2천만 달러
28%
2억 2천만~2억 4천만 달러
32%
2억 4천만~2억 6천만 달러
33%
2억 6천만~2억 8천만 달러
25%
>2억8천만
27%
2억 4천만~2억 6천만 달러 33%
2억 2천만~2억 4천만 달러 32%
2억~2억2천만 달러 28%
>2억8천만 27%
신규
신규
2026.08.02
2억 달러 미만
$44 거래량
23%
2억~2억2천만 달러
$0 거래량
28%
2억 2천만~2억 4천만 달러
$0 거래량
32%
2억 4천만~2억 6천만 달러
$0 거래량
33%
2억 6천만~2억 8천만 달러
$0 거래량
25%
>2억8천만
$0 거래량
27%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent trailer releases have sharpened focus on *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*’s July 31 domestic bow, with early tracking and industry estimates clustering near $195–220 million amid a post-pandemic economy and a fresh narrative reset rather than multiverse nostalgia. Traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to sub-$200 million because comparable solo Spider-Man launches and current presale momentum point to tempered rather than blockbuster debuts, while the tight cluster around $200–260 million brackets reflects uncertainty over how strongly marketing and word-of-mouth will convert amid competition from other summer tentpoles. Presales opening in the coming weeks and any late shifts in critical or audience sentiment remain the key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Jun 18, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
거래량
$44종료일
2026.08.02마켓 개설일
Jun 18, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent trailer releases have sharpened focus on *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*’s July 31 domestic bow, with early tracking and industry estimates clustering near $195–220 million amid a post-pandemic economy and a fresh narrative reset rather than multiverse nostalgia. Traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to sub-$200 million because comparable solo Spider-Man launches and current presale momentum point to tempered rather than blockbuster debuts, while the tight cluster around $200–260 million brackets reflects uncertainty over how strongly marketing and word-of-mouth will convert amid competition from other summer tentpoles. Presales opening in the coming weeks and any late shifts in critical or audience sentiment remain the key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$44종료일
2026.08.02마켓 개설일
Jun 18, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trailer releases have sharpened focus on *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*’s July 31 domestic bow, with early tracking and industry estimates clustering near $195–220 million amid a post-pandemic economy and a fresh narrative reset rather than multiverse nostalgia. Traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to sub-$200 million because comparable solo Spider-Man launches and current presale momentum point to tempered rather than blockbuster debuts, while the tight cluster around $200–260 million brackets reflects uncertainty over how strongly marketing and word-of-mouth will convert amid competition from other summer tentpoles. Presales opening in the coming weeks and any late shifts in critical or audience sentiment remain the key swing factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문