Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability for "No" on President Trump ordering a federal review of AI model releases by May 31, driven by the absence of any formal executive order or draft despite early May New York Times reporting on White House deliberations for pre-deployment vetting of frontier AI models. This potential oversight—likened to FDA-style approval—marks a sharp pivot from the administration's prior deregulatory executive orders like EO 14179, which prioritized removing barriers to American AI leadership. Discussions with labs including Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI remain exploratory, with no announced working group or timeline, leaving scant room for action in the remaining two weeks. Realistic challenges include an abrupt AI safety incident, cyber threat escalation, or direct Trump endorsement accelerating the process.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$60,683 거래량
$60,683 거래량
2026.05.31
예
$60,683 거래량
$60,683 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability for "No" on President Trump ordering a federal review of AI model releases by May 31, driven by the absence of any formal executive order or draft despite early May New York Times reporting on White House deliberations for pre-deployment vetting of frontier AI models. This potential oversight—likened to FDA-style approval—marks a sharp pivot from the administration's prior deregulatory executive orders like EO 14179, which prioritized removing barriers to American AI leadership. Discussions with labs including Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI remain exploratory, with no announced working group or timeline, leaving scant room for action in the remaining two weeks. Realistic challenges include an abrupt AI safety incident, cyber threat escalation, or direct Trump endorsement accelerating the process.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
거래량
$60,683종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability for "No" on President Trump ordering a federal review of AI model releases by May 31, driven by the absence of any formal executive order or draft despite early May New York Times reporting on White House deliberations for pre-deployment vetting of frontier AI models. This potential oversight—likened to FDA-style approval—marks a sharp pivot from the administration's prior deregulatory executive orders like EO 14179, which prioritized removing barriers to American AI leadership. Discussions with labs including Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI remain exploratory, with no announced working group or timeline, leaving scant room for action in the remaining two weeks. Realistic challenges include an abrupt AI safety incident, cyber threat escalation, or direct Trump endorsement accelerating the process.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$60,683종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability for "No" on President Trump ordering a federal review of AI model releases by May 31, driven by the absence of any formal executive order or draft despite early May New York Times reporting on White House deliberations for pre-deployment vetting of frontier AI models. This potential oversight—likened to FDA-style approval—marks a sharp pivot from the administration's prior deregulatory executive orders like EO 14179, which prioritized removing barriers to American AI leadership. Discussions with labs including Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI remain exploratory, with no announced working group or timeline, leaving scant room for action in the remaining two weeks. Realistic challenges include an abrupt AI safety incident, cyber threat escalation, or direct Trump endorsement accelerating the process.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문