Recent confidential IPO filing by OpenAI on June 8 has heightened trader focus on artificial intelligence sector momentum, with private valuations recently reaching $850–910 billion and targets discussed near $1 trillion. Strong revenue growth from large language models like GPT, coupled with competitive positioning against rivals such as Anthropic, supports market-implied odds favoring the $2.0–2.25 trillion range at 34 percent. However, closely matched probabilities for sub-$1 trillion and $1.25–1.5 trillion outcomes reflect uncertainty over profitability timelines, potential dilution, and broader market conditions ahead of a possible late-2026 debut.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$2.0T–$2.25T 34%
<$1T 25%
$1.75T–$2.0T 16%
$2.5T+ 15.3%
<$1T
25%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
27%
$1.5T–$1.75T
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
16%
$2.0T–$2.25T
34%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
15%
$2.0T–$2.25T 34%
<$1T 25%
$1.75T–$2.0T 16%
$2.5T+ 15.3%
<$1T
25%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
27%
$1.5T–$1.75T
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
16%
$2.0T–$2.25T
34%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
15%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent confidential IPO filing by OpenAI on June 8 has heightened trader focus on artificial intelligence sector momentum, with private valuations recently reaching $850–910 billion and targets discussed near $1 trillion. Strong revenue growth from large language models like GPT, coupled with competitive positioning against rivals such as Anthropic, supports market-implied odds favoring the $2.0–2.25 trillion range at 34 percent. However, closely matched probabilities for sub-$1 trillion and $1.25–1.5 trillion outcomes reflect uncertainty over profitability timelines, potential dilution, and broader market conditions ahead of a possible late-2026 debut.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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