Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Belgium—bolstered by Spain's recent dominance and the continent's five straight titles from 2006-2022 before Argentina's 2022 breakthrough. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL standouts Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, whose attacking flair poses a realistic challenge despite fewer slots. Africa's 3.5% and Asia's 2.9% acknowledge rising talents like Morocco and Japan amid debuts for Jordan, Uzbekistan, and Cape Verde, but historical knockout struggles persist. CONCACAF hosts (USA, Canada, Mexico) and others trail at 2.3%, hampered by limited depth, while Oceania's New Zealand sits at 0.3%. Final qualifiers in late March sealed Europe's strength with surprise punches from Turkey, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia, solidifying post-draw sentiment ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트유럽 73%
남미 21%
아프리카 3.5%
아시아 2.9%
$2,115,685 거래량
$2,115,685 거래량
유럽
73%
남미
21%
아프리카
3%
아시아
3%
북미
2%
오세아니아
<1%
유럽 73%
남미 21%
아프리카 3.5%
아시아 2.9%
$2,115,685 거래량
$2,115,685 거래량
유럽
$145,938 거래량
73%
남미
$209,993 거래량
21%
아프리카
$999,447 거래량
3%
아시아
$256,108 거래량
3%
북미
$229,783 거래량
2%
오세아니아
$274,674 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Belgium—bolstered by Spain's recent dominance and the continent's five straight titles from 2006-2022 before Argentina's 2022 breakthrough. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL standouts Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, whose attacking flair poses a realistic challenge despite fewer slots. Africa's 3.5% and Asia's 2.9% acknowledge rising talents like Morocco and Japan amid debuts for Jordan, Uzbekistan, and Cape Verde, but historical knockout struggles persist. CONCACAF hosts (USA, Canada, Mexico) and others trail at 2.3%, hampered by limited depth, while Oceania's New Zealand sits at 0.3%. Final qualifiers in late March sealed Europe's strength with surprise punches from Turkey, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia, solidifying post-draw sentiment ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
거래량
$2,115,685마켓 개설일
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Belgium—bolstered by Spain's recent dominance and the continent's five straight titles from 2006-2022 before Argentina's 2022 breakthrough. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL standouts Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, whose attacking flair poses a realistic challenge despite fewer slots. Africa's 3.5% and Asia's 2.9% acknowledge rising talents like Morocco and Japan amid debuts for Jordan, Uzbekistan, and Cape Verde, but historical knockout struggles persist. CONCACAF hosts (USA, Canada, Mexico) and others trail at 2.3%, hampered by limited depth, while Oceania's New Zealand sits at 0.3%. Final qualifiers in late March sealed Europe's strength with surprise punches from Turkey, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia, solidifying post-draw sentiment ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$2,115,685마켓 개설일
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualifiers including top-ranked powerhouses Spain, France, England, Germany, Portugal, Netherlands, and Belgium—bolstered by Spain's recent dominance and the continent's five straight titles from 2006-2022 before Argentina's 2022 breakthrough. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL standouts Argentina (defending champions), Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay, whose attacking flair poses a realistic challenge despite fewer slots. Africa's 3.5% and Asia's 2.9% acknowledge rising talents like Morocco and Japan amid debuts for Jordan, Uzbekistan, and Cape Verde, but historical knockout struggles persist. CONCACAF hosts (USA, Canada, Mexico) and others trail at 2.3%, hampered by limited depth, while Oceania's New Zealand sits at 0.3%. Final qualifiers in late March sealed Europe's strength with surprise punches from Turkey, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, and Czechia, solidifying post-draw sentiment ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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