The UFC flyweight division enters the second half of 2026 with an unusually tight race for year-end champion, as trader consensus shows Kyoji Horiguchi and Joshua Van essentially tied near 49% implied probability. This positioning reflects a deep, volatile talent pool where current titleholder Alexandre Pantoja sits at 36% while Manel Kape and Tatsuro Taira remain within striking distance. Recent divisional matchmaking, including potential title opportunities and ranking shifts, has kept multiple fighters with realistic paths to the belt through strong recent form or stylistic advantages in upcoming bouts. The bunched probabilities underscore how quickly a single high-stakes win or loss can reshape the division before December.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트조슈아 반 38%
알렉산드레 판토자 37%
타츠로 타이라 34.0%
마넬 카페 4.6%
$14,643 거래량
$14,643 거래량
2026.12.31
조슈아 반
46%
알렉산드레 판토자
37%
타츠로 타이라
23%
마넬 카페
26%
스티브 에르세그
1%
브랜든 모레노
<1%
팀 엘리엇
<1%
아수 알마바예프
<1%
아미르 알바지
<1%
브랜든 로이벌
<1%
호리구치 쿄지
45%
조슈아 반 38%
알렉산드레 판토자 37%
타츠로 타이라 34.0%
마넬 카페 4.6%
$14,643 거래량
$14,643 거래량
2026.12.31
조슈아 반
$3,081 거래량
46%
알렉산드레 판토자
$5,202 거래량
37%
타츠로 타이라
$1,183 거래량
23%
마넬 카페
$1,170 거래량
26%
스티브 에르세그
$848 거래량
1%
브랜든 모레노
$393 거래량
<1%
팀 엘리엇
$548 거래량
<1%
아수 알마바예프
$533 거래량
<1%
아미르 알바지
$507 거래량
<1%
브랜든 로이벌
$442 거래량
<1%
호리구치 쿄지
$736 거래량
45%
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).The UFC flyweight division enters the second half of 2026 with an unusually tight race for year-end champion, as trader consensus shows Kyoji Horiguchi and Joshua Van essentially tied near 49% implied probability. This positioning reflects a deep, volatile talent pool where current titleholder Alexandre Pantoja sits at 36% while Manel Kape and Tatsuro Taira remain within striking distance. Recent divisional matchmaking, including potential title opportunities and ranking shifts, has kept multiple fighters with realistic paths to the belt through strong recent form or stylistic advantages in upcoming bouts. The bunched probabilities underscore how quickly a single high-stakes win or loss can reshape the division before December.
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
마켓 개설일: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
거래량
$14,643종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).The UFC flyweight division enters the second half of 2026 with an unusually tight race for year-end champion, as trader consensus shows Kyoji Horiguchi and Joshua Van essentially tied near 49% implied probability. This positioning reflects a deep, volatile talent pool where current titleholder Alexandre Pantoja sits at 36% while Manel Kape and Tatsuro Taira remain within striking distance. Recent divisional matchmaking, including potential title opportunities and ranking shifts, has kept multiple fighters with realistic paths to the belt through strong recent form or stylistic advantages in upcoming bouts. The bunched probabilities underscore how quickly a single high-stakes win or loss can reshape the division before December.
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
거래량
$14,643종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The UFC flyweight division enters the second half of 2026 with an unusually tight race for year-end champion, as trader consensus shows Kyoji Horiguchi and Joshua Van essentially tied near 49% implied probability. This positioning reflects a deep, volatile talent pool where current titleholder Alexandre Pantoja sits at 36% while Manel Kape and Tatsuro Taira remain within striking distance. Recent divisional matchmaking, including potential title opportunities and ranking shifts, has kept multiple fighters with realistic paths to the belt through strong recent form or stylistic advantages in upcoming bouts. The bunched probabilities underscore how quickly a single high-stakes win or loss can reshape the division before December.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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