Islam Makhachev holds the UFC welterweight title after capturing it from Jack Della Maddalena via unanimous decision at UFC 322 in November 2025, establishing him as the clear frontrunner to remain champion through year-end 2026. Recent reports position his first defense against top contender Ian Machado Garry for August 2026, with Makhachev publicly naming Garry the division’s No. 1 challenger amid ongoing social-media exchanges and scheduling discussions tied to recovery and Ramadan. Garry’s strong recent form and ranking keep him as the primary alternative, though his stylistic matchup against Makhachev’s elite wrestling and grappling creates significant implied-probability separation. Other names like Carlos Prates, Shavkat Rakhmonov, and veterans such as Kamaru Usman or Belal Muhammad sit far lower due to positioning outside the immediate title picture, limited activity, or recent setbacks, leaving little realistic path to the belt before December. The condensed timeline to year-end further reinforces market expectations around Makhachev’s retention following the summer showdown.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트이슬람 마카체프 80%
이안 마차도 게리 17.5%
카를로스 프라테스 1.3%
샵캇 라흐모노프 <1%
$608,647 거래량
$608,647 거래량
이슬람 마카체프
74%
이안 마차도 게리
18%
카를로스 프라테스
1%
샵캇 라흐모노프
<1%
카마루 우스만
<1%
마이클 모랄레스
<1%
션 브래디
<1%
파이터 A
<1%
잭 델라 마달레나
<1%
벨랄 무하마드
<1%
리온 에드워즈
<1%
호아킨 버클리
<1%
이슬람 마카체프 80%
이안 마차도 게리 17.5%
카를로스 프라테스 1.3%
샵캇 라흐모노프 <1%
$608,647 거래량
$608,647 거래량
이슬람 마카체프
74%
이안 마차도 게리
18%
카를로스 프라테스
1%
샵캇 라흐모노프
<1%
카마루 우스만
<1%
마이클 모랄레스
<1%
션 브래디
<1%
파이터 A
<1%
잭 델라 마달레나
<1%
벨랄 무하마드
<1%
리온 에드워즈
<1%
호아킨 버클리
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds the UFC welterweight title after capturing it from Jack Della Maddalena via unanimous decision at UFC 322 in November 2025, establishing him as the clear frontrunner to remain champion through year-end 2026. Recent reports position his first defense against top contender Ian Machado Garry for August 2026, with Makhachev publicly naming Garry the division’s No. 1 challenger amid ongoing social-media exchanges and scheduling discussions tied to recovery and Ramadan. Garry’s strong recent form and ranking keep him as the primary alternative, though his stylistic matchup against Makhachev’s elite wrestling and grappling creates significant implied-probability separation. Other names like Carlos Prates, Shavkat Rakhmonov, and veterans such as Kamaru Usman or Belal Muhammad sit far lower due to positioning outside the immediate title picture, limited activity, or recent setbacks, leaving little realistic path to the belt before December. The condensed timeline to year-end further reinforces market expectations around Makhachev’s retention following the summer showdown.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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