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icon for 2026년 월드컵에서 한 번도 우승한 적이 없는 국가가 우승할 수 있을까요?

2026년 월드컵에서 한 번도 우승한 적이 없는 국가가 우승할 수 있을까요?

icon for 2026년 월드컵에서 한 번도 우승한 적이 없는 국가가 우승할 수 있을까요?

2026년 월드컵에서 한 번도 우승한 적이 없는 국가가 우승할 수 있을까요?

32% 확률
Polymarket

$118,532 거래량

32% 확률
Polymarket

$118,532 거래량

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead 2026 World Cup futures at roughly +450 to +500, followed by England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina, reflecting deep squads anchored by elite talent such as Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, and Jude Bellingham. These nations, along with Germany and the defending champions, account for every prior title and continue to post the strongest recent results, including Spain’s Euro 2024 success. Group-stage openers have produced only modest shifts, with Morocco improving slightly after a draw against Brazil while most long-shot sides remain at 40-1 or longer. The expanded 48-team format increases early-round opportunities for unproven sides, yet the knockout bracket favors teams with proven depth and experience, keeping implied probabilities for a first-time winner well below 50 percent.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$118,532
종료일
2026.07.20
마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead 2026 World Cup futures at roughly +450 to +500, followed by England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina, reflecting deep squads anchored by elite talent such as Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, and Jude Bellingham. These nations, along with Germany and the defending champions, account for every prior title and continue to post the strongest recent results, including Spain’s Euro 2024 success. Group-stage openers have produced only modest shifts, with Morocco improving slightly after a draw against Brazil while most long-shot sides remain at 40-1 or longer. The expanded 48-team format increases early-round opportunities for unproven sides, yet the knockout bracket favors teams with proven depth and experience, keeping implied probabilities for a first-time winner well below 50 percent.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$118,532
종료일
2026.07.20
마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"2026년 월드컵에서 한 번도 우승한 적이 없는 국가가 우승할 수 있을까요?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 32%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 32¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 32%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "2026년 월드컵에서 한 번도 우승한 적이 없는 국가가 우승할 수 있을까요?"은 총 $118.5K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jun 5, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"2026년 월드컵에서 한 번도 우승한 적이 없는 국가가 우승할 수 있을까요?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2026년 월드컵에서 한 번도 우승한 적이 없는 국가가 우승할 수 있을까요?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 32%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 32%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"2026년 월드컵에서 한 번도 우승한 적이 없는 국가가 우승할 수 있을까요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.