Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for Democrats to win all core four 2026 Senate races in Georgia, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina, reflecting recent polling edges and ratings shifts amid midterm headwinds for the GOP incumbent president. Fresh May surveys, including High Point University's poll showing former Gov. Roy Cooper leading 50%-42% in North Carolina's open seat and NYT/MPRC data tilting Michigan's open contest Democratic, bolstered Sen. Jon Ossoff's Lean Democratic rating in Georgia per Sabato's Crystal Ball while highlighting Sen. Susan Collins' vulnerability in Maine. The Economist's aggregates indicate 5-9 point Democratic leads across the battlegrounds, though upcoming primaries like Maine's June 9 ranked-choice vote and potential GOP consolidation could narrow margins in these toss-ups.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
신규
신규
2026.11.03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for Democrats to win all core four 2026 Senate races in Georgia, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina, reflecting recent polling edges and ratings shifts amid midterm headwinds for the GOP incumbent president. Fresh May surveys, including High Point University's poll showing former Gov. Roy Cooper leading 50%-42% in North Carolina's open seat and NYT/MPRC data tilting Michigan's open contest Democratic, bolstered Sen. Jon Ossoff's Lean Democratic rating in Georgia per Sabato's Crystal Ball while highlighting Sen. Susan Collins' vulnerability in Maine. The Economist's aggregates indicate 5-9 point Democratic leads across the battlegrounds, though upcoming primaries like Maine's June 9 ranked-choice vote and potential GOP consolidation could narrow margins in these toss-ups.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
거래량
$4,000종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for Democrats to win all core four 2026 Senate races in Georgia, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina, reflecting recent polling edges and ratings shifts amid midterm headwinds for the GOP incumbent president. Fresh May surveys, including High Point University's poll showing former Gov. Roy Cooper leading 50%-42% in North Carolina's open seat and NYT/MPRC data tilting Michigan's open contest Democratic, bolstered Sen. Jon Ossoff's Lean Democratic rating in Georgia per Sabato's Crystal Ball while highlighting Sen. Susan Collins' vulnerability in Maine. The Economist's aggregates indicate 5-9 point Democratic leads across the battlegrounds, though upcoming primaries like Maine's June 9 ranked-choice vote and potential GOP consolidation could narrow margins in these toss-ups.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
거래량
$4,000종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for Democrats to win all core four 2026 Senate races in Georgia, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina, reflecting recent polling edges and ratings shifts amid midterm headwinds for the GOP incumbent president. Fresh May surveys, including High Point University's poll showing former Gov. Roy Cooper leading 50%-42% in North Carolina's open seat and NYT/MPRC data tilting Michigan's open contest Democratic, bolstered Sen. Jon Ossoff's Lean Democratic rating in Georgia per Sabato's Crystal Ball while highlighting Sen. Susan Collins' vulnerability in Maine. The Economist's aggregates indicate 5-9 point Democratic leads across the battlegrounds, though upcoming primaries like Maine's June 9 ranked-choice vote and potential GOP consolidation could narrow margins in these toss-ups.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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