Trader consensus on the 90% implied probability that Kylian Mbappé stays at Real Madrid through the August 31 window stems primarily from his binding five-year contract running until June 2029, which carries no realistic early-exit pathway without mutual consent. Recent internal tensions, including his hamstring recovery, a substitute role and fan boos in the May 15 win over Real Oviedo, plus public criticism of head coach Álvaro Arbeloa’s lineup decisions, have fueled speculation but triggered no official club signals of a sale. Transfer insiders confirm Madrid remain committed to the forward despite La Liga title challenges and squad harmony concerns with teammates like Vinícius Júnior. Mbappé’s own recent statements rejecting any departure further anchor the market’s view that short-term movement before the summer window closes is highly unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.08.31
신규
신규
2026.08.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 90% implied probability that Kylian Mbappé stays at Real Madrid through the August 31 window stems primarily from his binding five-year contract running until June 2029, which carries no realistic early-exit pathway without mutual consent. Recent internal tensions, including his hamstring recovery, a substitute role and fan boos in the May 15 win over Real Oviedo, plus public criticism of head coach Álvaro Arbeloa’s lineup decisions, have fueled speculation but triggered no official club signals of a sale. Transfer insiders confirm Madrid remain committed to the forward despite La Liga title challenges and squad harmony concerns with teammates like Vinícius Júnior. Mbappé’s own recent statements rejecting any departure further anchor the market’s view that short-term movement before the summer window closes is highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
거래량
$7,261종료일
2026.08.31마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 90% implied probability that Kylian Mbappé stays at Real Madrid through the August 31 window stems primarily from his binding five-year contract running until June 2029, which carries no realistic early-exit pathway without mutual consent. Recent internal tensions, including his hamstring recovery, a substitute role and fan boos in the May 15 win over Real Oviedo, plus public criticism of head coach Álvaro Arbeloa’s lineup decisions, have fueled speculation but triggered no official club signals of a sale. Transfer insiders confirm Madrid remain committed to the forward despite La Liga title challenges and squad harmony concerns with teammates like Vinícius Júnior. Mbappé’s own recent statements rejecting any departure further anchor the market’s view that short-term movement before the summer window closes is highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid.
If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered.
If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$7,261종료일
2026.08.31마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the 90% implied probability that Kylian Mbappé stays at Real Madrid through the August 31 window stems primarily from his binding five-year contract running until June 2029, which carries no realistic early-exit pathway without mutual consent. Recent internal tensions, including his hamstring recovery, a substitute role and fan boos in the May 15 win over Real Oviedo, plus public criticism of head coach Álvaro Arbeloa’s lineup decisions, have fueled speculation but triggered no official club signals of a sale. Transfer insiders confirm Madrid remain committed to the forward despite La Liga title challenges and squad harmony concerns with teammates like Vinícius Júnior. Mbappé’s own recent statements rejecting any departure further anchor the market’s view that short-term movement before the summer window closes is highly unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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