Recent singles like “White Feather Hawk Tail Deer Hunter” and the surprise “First Light,” paired with Lana Del Rey’s repeated “Stove coming soon” social updates, have kept release momentum alive and helped push the market-implied odds for a June 30 drop to 57.5 percent. The project has already shifted titles and timelines multiple times since its 2024 announcement, with the singer citing additional tracks and a move toward country sounds that extended work into 2026. Traders appear to weigh these fresh promotional signals against the artist’s history of last-minute postponements, creating a narrow consensus rather than strong conviction. An official announcement or confirmed street date in the next few weeks would likely decide whether the probability climbs further or reverses before the cutoff.