Skip to main content
icon for 맘다니는 목요일에 닉스 퍼레이드를 위해 수업을 취소할까요?

맘다니는 목요일에 닉스 퍼레이드를 위해 수업을 취소할까요?

icon for 맘다니는 목요일에 닉스 퍼레이드를 위해 수업을 취소할까요?

맘다니는 목요일에 닉스 퍼레이드를 위해 수업을 취소할까요?

50% 확률
Polymarket
신규
50% 확률
Polymarket
신규
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s enthusiastic support for the Knicks’ first NBA title since 1973, including his rapid announcement of the Thursday ticker-tape parade and City Hall ceremony plus prior moves like repealing student bedtimes during the Finals, creates strong trader expectations that he will push for school closures or schedule adjustments to accommodate the Canyon of Heroes event. Counterbalancing factors include the mayor’s limited direct authority over the Department of Education and Regents exams, which typically require coordination with the governor and state officials, plus the precedent of maintaining classes throughout the Finals despite fan excitement. Recent public statements about canceling school and Regents exams reflect his preference for maximizing participation, yet logistical hurdles around a weekday parade and competing educational priorities keep the implied probability evenly split at 50 percent. Fresh updates on official school announcements or state-level approvals could quickly shift sentiment in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes".

Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified.

This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels.

If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
거래량
$0
종료일
2026.06.19
마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s enthusiastic support for the Knicks’ first NBA title since 1973, including his rapid announcement of the Thursday ticker-tape parade and City Hall ceremony plus prior moves like repealing student bedtimes during the Finals, creates strong trader expectations that he will push for school closures or schedule adjustments to accommodate the Canyon of Heroes event. Counterbalancing factors include the mayor’s limited direct authority over the Department of Education and Regents exams, which typically require coordination with the governor and state officials, plus the precedent of maintaining classes throughout the Finals despite fan excitement. Recent public statements about canceling school and Regents exams reflect his preference for maximizing participation, yet logistical hurdles around a weekday parade and competing educational priorities keep the implied probability evenly split at 50 percent. Fresh updates on official school announcements or state-level approvals could quickly shift sentiment in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes".

Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified.

This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels.

If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
거래량
$0
종료일
2026.06.19
마켓 개설일
Jun 15, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"맘다니는 목요일에 닉스 퍼레이드를 위해 수업을 취소할까요?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 50%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 50¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 50%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"맘다니는 목요일에 닉스 퍼레이드를 위해 수업을 취소할까요?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 15, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"맘다니는 목요일에 닉스 퍼레이드를 위해 수업을 취소할까요?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"맘다니는 목요일에 닉스 퍼레이드를 위해 수업을 취소할까요?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 50%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 50%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"맘다니는 목요일에 닉스 퍼레이드를 위해 수업을 취소할까요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.