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Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?

icon for Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?

Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?

신규
2026.05.31
Polymarket

$2,825 거래량

Polymarket

May 19

$415 거래량

97%

May 20

$287 거래량

98%

May 21

$334 거래량

98%

May 22

$341 거래량

98%

May 23

$329 거래량

98%

May 24

$658 거래량

99%

May 31

$461 거래량

99%

On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide. A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count. An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing Long Island Rail Road strike, which began May 16 after three years of stalled contract talks between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five unions representing roughly 3,500 workers, centers on demands for higher wage increases and improved benefits beyond the MTA’s latest offer. This marks the first major work stoppage since 1994 and has suspended service for hundreds of thousands of daily commuters across Long Island and New York City. State leaders, including Governor Kathy Hochul, have pushed for intensified negotiations, and reports indicate a tentative agreement was reached on May 19 that could restore operations that same day pending union ratification. Any delays in final approvals or lingering disputes over specific contract language could extend the disruption, while swift ratification would likely resolve the action quickly.

On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.

A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.

An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$2,825
종료일
2026.05.31
마켓 개설일
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide. A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count. An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide. A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count. An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing Long Island Rail Road strike, which began May 16 after three years of stalled contract talks between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five unions representing roughly 3,500 workers, centers on demands for higher wage increases and improved benefits beyond the MTA’s latest offer. This marks the first major work stoppage since 1994 and has suspended service for hundreds of thousands of daily commuters across Long Island and New York City. State leaders, including Governor Kathy Hochul, have pushed for intensified negotiations, and reports indicate a tentative agreement was reached on May 19 that could restore operations that same day pending union ratification. Any delays in final approvals or lingering disputes over specific contract language could extend the disruption, while swift ratification would likely resolve the action quickly.

On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.

A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.

An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$2,825
종료일
2026.05.31
마켓 개설일
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide. A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count. An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 99%의 "May 24"이며, 이어서 99%의 "May 31"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 99¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 99%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, May 18, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?"의 현재 유력 후보는 99%의 "May 24"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 99%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 99%의 "May 31"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.