The NBA's proposed "3-2-1" draft lottery reform—expanding from 14 to 16 teams, flattening No. 1 pick odds, and penalizing the bottom three finishers with fewer lottery balls—has built strong trader consensus for change at 79% Yes implied probability. Disclosed to all 30 GMs on April 28, the anti-tanking measure addresses persistent issues like chronic bottom-feeders securing top picks despite questionable effort, as seen in recent seasons. Commissioner Adam Silver recently affirmed the league's authority to alter odds, with a Board of Governors vote scheduled for May 28. Momentum from executive support and flattened incentives to compete through the play-in and playoffs drives this high expectation of passage for future drafts.