Traders assign overwhelming consensus to no pardon for Tiger Woods by June 30 because the golfer has no pending criminal charges, convictions, or investigations that would meet the threshold for presidential clemency. Following his extended recovery and return to PGA Tour events, Woods maintains a clean public record with no recent legal developments involving driving incidents, financial matters, or other issues that historically prompt executive action. The implied probability reflects this absence of any documented case requiring intervention, consistent with patterns where pardons address active sentences rather than speculative hypotheticals. Sudden developments such as new charges tied to off-course activities could theoretically alter the outlook, though his current competitive schedule and standing make such shifts highly unlikely before the deadline.