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icon for 윔블던 2026: 주앙 폰세카가 탑 5 시드를 물리칠까요?

윔블던 2026: 주앙 폰세카가 탑 5 시드를 물리칠까요?

icon for 윔블던 2026: 주앙 폰세카가 탑 5 시드를 물리칠까요?

윔블던 2026: 주앙 폰세카가 탑 5 시드를 물리칠까요?

48% 확률
Polymarket
신규
48% 확률
Polymarket
신규
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.João Fonseca enters Wimbledon 2026 as a seeded player around No. 23–24 with strong recent form, including a 2026 French Open win over Novak Djokovic and an ATP title on clay, yet his limited grass-court record (historically below .500) and 2–6 mark versus top-10 opponents create balance against the “No” side at 50.5% implied probability. A favorable draw positions him to avoid early top-8 clashes, but reaching a top-5 seed would likely require navigating multiple rounds on a surface where serve-volley and movement remain developing elements for the Brazilian. Recent grass preparation at Halle and his baseline power offer upset potential in best-of-five sets, while any dip in form, draw shifts, or physical fatigue could reinforce the current trader consensus favoring no such victory.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$0
종료일
2026.07.12
마켓 개설일
Jun 22, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.João Fonseca enters Wimbledon 2026 as a seeded player around No. 23–24 with strong recent form, including a 2026 French Open win over Novak Djokovic and an ATP title on clay, yet his limited grass-court record (historically below .500) and 2–6 mark versus top-10 opponents create balance against the “No” side at 50.5% implied probability. A favorable draw positions him to avoid early top-8 clashes, but reaching a top-5 seed would likely require navigating multiple rounds on a surface where serve-volley and movement remain developing elements for the Brazilian. Recent grass preparation at Halle and his baseline power offer upset potential in best-of-five sets, while any dip in form, draw shifts, or physical fatigue could reinforce the current trader consensus favoring no such victory.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.

If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$0
종료일
2026.07.12
마켓 개설일
Jun 22, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca defeats a player seeded number 5 or higher during any main tournament match in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Joao Fonseca withdraws from the tournament, an applicable match is ruled a walkover this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"윔블던 2026: 주앙 폰세카가 탑 5 시드를 물리칠까요?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 48%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 48¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 48%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"윔블던 2026: 주앙 폰세카가 탑 5 시드를 물리칠까요?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 22, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"윔블던 2026: 주앙 폰세카가 탑 5 시드를 물리칠까요?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"윔블던 2026: 주앙 폰세카가 탑 5 시드를 물리칠까요?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 48%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 48%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"윔블던 2026: 주앙 폰세카가 탑 5 시드를 물리칠까요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.