The record for the fastest goal in a World Cup final stands at 90 seconds, set by Johan Neeskens via penalty for the Netherlands against West Germany in 1974, and has remained unbroken across all subsequent finals despite decades of matches. Traders assign "No" a 97.9% implied probability because finals feature cautious, high-stakes play with strong defensive organization from both sides, reducing the chance of an early concession or rapid counter. The single-match format further limits opportunities compared to group or knockout stages, and no comparable early strikes have occurred in modern finals. While an early penalty, defensive lapse, or set-piece conversion before the 90-second mark remains theoretically possible in the July 19, 2026, final at MetLife Stadium, such outcomes have proven exceptionally rare in this specific context.