Historical conversion rates for penalty kicks in World Cup matches since 1978 stand at 79.1% during regular and extra time, directly aligning with the current trader consensus on this outcome. This reflects the controlled execution of spot kicks, where skilled takers face isolated goalkeepers under standardized conditions that favor scoring over misses across diverse matchups and surfaces. No specific team news, injuries, or form shifts apply yet, as the tournament opens without prior penalties taken, leaving the implied probability anchored in long-term patterns rather than short-term variables. Rule adjustments for 2026, including expanded VAR reviews, introduce minor uncertainty but have not materially altered expectations for initial spot-kick success.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Made
신규
신규
2026.07.20
Made
신규
신규
2026.07.20
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Historical conversion rates for penalty kicks in World Cup matches since 1978 stand at 79.1% during regular and extra time, directly aligning with the current trader consensus on this outcome. This reflects the controlled execution of spot kicks, where skilled takers face isolated goalkeepers under standardized conditions that favor scoring over misses across diverse matchups and surfaces. No specific team news, injuries, or form shifts apply yet, as the tournament opens without prior penalties taken, leaving the implied probability anchored in long-term patterns rather than short-term variables. Rule adjustments for 2026, including expanded VAR reviews, introduce minor uncertainty but have not materially altered expectations for initial spot-kick success.
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$6,070종료일
2026.07.20마켓 개설일
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Historical conversion rates for penalty kicks in World Cup matches since 1978 stand at 79.1% during regular and extra time, directly aligning with the current trader consensus on this outcome. This reflects the controlled execution of spot kicks, where skilled takers face isolated goalkeepers under standardized conditions that favor scoring over misses across diverse matchups and surfaces. No specific team news, injuries, or form shifts apply yet, as the tournament opens without prior penalties taken, leaving the implied probability anchored in long-term patterns rather than short-term variables. Rule adjustments for 2026, including expanded VAR reviews, introduce minor uncertainty but have not materially altered expectations for initial spot-kick success.
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$6,070종료일
2026.07.20마켓 개설일
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Historical conversion rates for penalty kicks in World Cup matches since 1978 stand at 79.1% during regular and extra time, directly aligning with the current trader consensus on this outcome. This reflects the controlled execution of spot kicks, where skilled takers face isolated goalkeepers under standardized conditions that favor scoring over misses across diverse matchups and surfaces. No specific team news, injuries, or form shifts apply yet, as the tournament opens without prior penalties taken, leaving the implied probability anchored in long-term patterns rather than short-term variables. Rule adjustments for 2026, including expanded VAR reviews, introduce minor uncertainty but have not materially altered expectations for initial spot-kick success.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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