Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Kylian Mbappe 24%
Harry Kane 22%
Lionel Messi 20.0%
Erling Haaland 9%
$19,558,919 거래량
$19,558,919 거래량
Kylian Mbappe
24%
Harry Kane
22%
Lionel Messi
20%
Erling Haaland
9%
카이 하베르츠
5%
Vinicius Junior
3%
Lamine Yamal
2%
폴라린 발로군
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
1%
Mikel Oyarzabal
1%
Michael Olise
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Viktor Gyökeres
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Ferran Torres
<1%
Ousmane Dembele
<1%
Igor Thiago
<1%
Deniz Undav
<1%
Cody Gakpo
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
도니얼 말렌
<1%
엔드리크
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Depay Memphis
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Luis Javier Suárez
<1%
로멜루 루카쿠
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
플로리안 비르츠
<1%
멤피스 데파이
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
팀 페인
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 24%
Harry Kane 22%
Lionel Messi 20.0%
Erling Haaland 9%
$19,558,919 거래량
$19,558,919 거래량
Kylian Mbappe
24%
Harry Kane
22%
Lionel Messi
20%
Erling Haaland
9%
카이 하베르츠
5%
Vinicius Junior
3%
Lamine Yamal
2%
폴라린 발로군
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
1%
Mikel Oyarzabal
1%
Michael Olise
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Viktor Gyökeres
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Ferran Torres
<1%
Ousmane Dembele
<1%
Igor Thiago
<1%
Deniz Undav
<1%
Cody Gakpo
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
도니얼 말렌
<1%
엔드리크
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Depay Memphis
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Luis Javier Suárez
<1%
로멜루 루카쿠
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
플로리안 비르츠
<1%
멤피스 데파이
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
팀 페인
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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