Japan’s position in the competitive Group F alongside the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia shapes the tight trader consensus between elimination in the group stage and a Round of 32 exit. Key injuries to attackers Kaoru Mitoma and Takumi Minamino have tempered expectations for a deeper run despite strong squad depth and recent friendlies against top sides. The expanded 48-team format increases advancement odds for well-drilled teams like Japan, yet the group’s quality and historical patterns of early exits keep probabilities closely bunched around those two outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Round of 32 44%
Round of 16 20%
Group Stage 17%
Quarterfinals 13%
신규
신규
2026.07.19
Round of 32
44%
Round of 16
20%
Group Stage
17%
Quarterfinals
13%
Semifinals
8%
Champion
7%
Final
3%
Round of 32 44%
Round of 16 20%
Group Stage 17%
Quarterfinals 13%
신규
신규
2026.07.19
Round of 32
$233 거래량
44%
Round of 16
$151 거래량
20%
Group Stage
$634 거래량
17%
Quarterfinals
$735 거래량
13%
Semifinals
$2,418 거래량
8%
Champion
$28 거래량
7%
Final
$233 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan’s position in the competitive Group F alongside the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia shapes the tight trader consensus between elimination in the group stage and a Round of 32 exit. Key injuries to attackers Kaoru Mitoma and Takumi Minamino have tempered expectations for a deeper run despite strong squad depth and recent friendlies against top sides. The expanded 48-team format increases advancement odds for well-drilled teams like Japan, yet the group’s quality and historical patterns of early exits keep probabilities closely bunched around those two outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
거래량
$4,433종료일
2026.07.19마켓 개설일
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan’s position in the competitive Group F alongside the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia shapes the tight trader consensus between elimination in the group stage and a Round of 32 exit. Key injuries to attackers Kaoru Mitoma and Takumi Minamino have tempered expectations for a deeper run despite strong squad depth and recent friendlies against top sides. The expanded 48-team format increases advancement odds for well-drilled teams like Japan, yet the group’s quality and historical patterns of early exits keep probabilities closely bunched around those two outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$4,433종료일
2026.07.19마켓 개설일
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan’s position in the competitive Group F alongside the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia shapes the tight trader consensus between elimination in the group stage and a Round of 32 exit. Key injuries to attackers Kaoru Mitoma and Takumi Minamino have tempered expectations for a deeper run despite strong squad depth and recent friendlies against top sides. The expanded 48-team format increases advancement odds for well-drilled teams like Japan, yet the group’s quality and historical patterns of early exits keep probabilities closely bunched around those two outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문